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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
TS Rafael
ADV#29 9:00 am EDT
26.3N 91.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Nnw at 3 mph
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1237
Loc: South Florida
Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns
      Thu Aug 26 2004 09:15 PM

Good post Hank. I think its all very premature today to say what Frances might do in 4 days when there is a situation off the SC coast ..as well as the ull to the east of the SC system and to the N of Frances. If she continues moving more west north west than northwest with all that going on..then we will have a better clue. But the steering conditions have not jelled yet in my opinon. Her path is not very set in stone.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Frances deepening, closer concerns HanKFranK Thu Aug 26 2004 09:15 PM
. * * Station 41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA Cocoa Beach   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 Cocoa Beach   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:49 PM
. * * NHC Statement on TD7 Hurricane   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 TROY   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 Jamiewx   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:48 PM
. * * RECON (It's about time too...) LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns Keith234   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Frank P   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS BevMott   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS recmod   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Ed in Va   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:52 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:17 AM
. * * Cat II Frances LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:37 AM
. * * Cat III Frances? rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Cat III Frances? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:16 PM
. * * Re: Cat III Frances? StormLover   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:42 PM
. * * Northward Wobble! LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! joepub1   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:11 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:17 PM
. * * 97L Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! Brad   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:33 PM
. * * South Carolina... Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:46 PM
. * * JB Midday Missive LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:51 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive SC Bill   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:38 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Kal   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive SirCane   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:00 PM
. * * Frances goes MAJOR LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances goes MAJOR Kevin   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:29 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see DMFischer   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:43 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:24 PM
. * * TD7 Advisory 1 LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Advisory 1 James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:47 PM
. * * Probabilities of a SC impact? Mooshie   Tue Aug 31 2004 06:09 PM
. * * Re: TD7 ....models? LoisCane   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:36 PM
. * * Re: TD7 ....models? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:46 PM
. * * TD7 Forecast Track LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Forecast Track Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Frances' future LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Frances' future Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Hurricane Charley Chrisras   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley scott   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances Maitland, FL   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances Maitland, FL   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances Maitland, FL   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Off topic-slightly danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Off topic-slightly GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Hermine danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Hermine GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Hermine HCW   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:52 PM
. * * NEW THREAD! LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:57 PM
. * * Re: NEW THREAD! HCW   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:01 PM
. * * 2345 T#s LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: 2345 T#s meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Forecast Track James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:57 PM
. * * Monster Hurricane Chrisras   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane DMFischer   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:29 PM
. * * Frances News Hype Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Frances News Hype LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Frances News Hype Hardcore   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane StormLover   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane 52255225   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane Rich B   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see RevUp   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:36 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see Maitland   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Frances goes MAJOR LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:38 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive SC Bill   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:46 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:19 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:03 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive scottsvb55   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:52 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive scottsvb1   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:30 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Ed in Va   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive ticka1   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:17 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:58 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:08 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:04 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Storm Cooper   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:29 PM
. * * Gaston? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? SC Bill   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:54 AM
. * * Compact systems Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Gaston? Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Gaston? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:31 AM
. * * HOMEGROWN TROUBLE summercyclone   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:45 AM
. * * Re: HOMEGROWN TROUBLE Hardcore   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:29 AM
. * * Gaston and Hermine? James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:31 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS LONNY307   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:26 AM
. * * Re: A98E danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:45 AM
. * * Re: A98E Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Matt033   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:22 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS meto   Thu Aug 26 2004 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS h2ocean   Thu Aug 26 2004 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:28 PM
. * * Can I breath easy? Cycloneye   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? LI Phil   Thu Aug 26 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? LI Phil   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:42 PM
. * * who is roberta? & i think ridge is building in as we speak LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re:A More W Component? javlin   Thu Aug 26 2004 11:19 PM
. * * Re:A More W Component? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:29 AM
. * * Frances in Florida? FSU GRAD   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:13 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? EriktheFled   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:29 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Matt033   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:29 AM
. * * Re:5AM Discussion danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:16 AM
. * * Re:5AM Discussion LadyStorm   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:11 AM
. * * Re:5AM Discussion James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Off Current Topic danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:31 AM
. * * Very Quick...very EARLY post LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:54 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:27 AM
. * * Re:A More W Component? Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:01 AM
. * * when the moderators.... rickonboat   Thu Aug 26 2004 07:25 PM
. * * what, me worry? HanKFranK   Thu Aug 26 2004 08:01 PM
. * * Re: what, me worry? Clark   Thu Aug 26 2004 08:44 PM
. * * Re: what, me worry? GuppieGrouper   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? ticka1   Thu Aug 26 2004 07:05 PM
. * * wonder what the insurance companies are thinking rickonboat   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns Rabbit   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns Keith234   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:04 PM

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