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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
TS Rafael
ADV#8 9:00 am EDT
17.8N 78.6W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 994mb
Moving:
Nw at 13 mph
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
Re: Hurricane Charley
      Fri Aug 27 2004 07:04 PM

It's obviously way to early to try to pinpoint a landfalling position. The dubious thing is that this will make a US mainland landfall. There is no escaping that at this point. The ridge will certainly be strong enough to bring the storm to east coast if not across Florida and into the Gulf. It's really amazing to me, even after all these years studying canes and meteorology in general, how in awe of these things I am. Frances is just an amazing storm already, and she hasn't even hit 50W. The "buzz-saw" look to it just reminds me so much of Andrew and it's obviously taking a somewhat similar track (generalization, i.e. the upcoming bend back to the west) as its 1992 counterpart. It's looks like it's going to be bad news for someone.

--------------------
I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Frances deepening, closer concerns HanKFranK Fri Aug 27 2004 07:04 PM
. * * Station 41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA Cocoa Beach   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 Cocoa Beach   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:49 PM
. * * NHC Statement on TD7 Hurricane   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 TROY   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Station TYBG1 - U.S. Navy Tower R8 Jamiewx   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:48 PM
. * * RECON (It's about time too...) LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns Keith234   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Frank P   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS BevMott   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS recmod   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Ed in Va   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:52 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:17 AM
. * * Cat II Frances LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:37 AM
. * * Cat III Frances? rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Cat III Frances? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:16 PM
. * * Re: Cat III Frances? StormLover   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:42 PM
. * * Northward Wobble! LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! joepub1   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:11 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:17 PM
. * * 97L Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! Brad   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:33 PM
. * * South Carolina... Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:46 PM
. * * JB Midday Missive LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:51 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive SC Bill   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:38 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Kal   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive SirCane   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:00 PM
. * * Frances goes MAJOR LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances goes MAJOR Kevin   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:29 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see DMFischer   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:43 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:24 PM
. * * TD7 Advisory 1 LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Advisory 1 James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:47 PM
. * * Probabilities of a SC impact? Mooshie   Tue Aug 31 2004 06:09 PM
. * * Re: TD7 ....models? LoisCane   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:36 PM
. * * Re: TD7 ....models? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:46 PM
. * * TD7 Forecast Track LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Forecast Track Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Frances' future LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Frances' future Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Hurricane Charley Chrisras   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley scott   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances Maitland, FL   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Charley WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances Maitland, FL   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances Maitland, FL   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Off topic-slightly danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Off topic-slightly GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Hermine danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Hermine GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Hermine HCW   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:52 PM
. * * NEW THREAD! LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:57 PM
. * * Re: NEW THREAD! HCW   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:01 PM
. * * 2345 T#s LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: 2345 T#s meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Forecast Track James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:57 PM
. * * Monster Hurricane Chrisras   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane DMFischer   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:29 PM
. * * Frances News Hype Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Frances News Hype LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Frances News Hype Hardcore   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane StormLover   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane 52255225   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane Rich B   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Monster Hurricane Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see RevUp   Fri Aug 27 2004 04:36 PM
. * * Re:Question about what I see Maitland   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Frances goes MAJOR LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:38 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive SC Bill   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:46 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:19 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:03 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive scottsvb55   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:52 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive scottsvb1   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:30 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Ed in Va   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive ticka1   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:17 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:58 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:08 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:04 PM
. * * Re: JB Midday Missive Storm Cooper   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Northward Wobble! rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:29 PM
. * * Gaston? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? SC Bill   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:54 AM
. * * Compact systems Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Gaston? Keith234   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Gaston? LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:31 AM
. * * HOMEGROWN TROUBLE summercyclone   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:45 AM
. * * Re: HOMEGROWN TROUBLE Hardcore   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Gaston? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:29 AM
. * * Gaston and Hermine? James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:31 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS LONNY307   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:26 AM
. * * Re: A98E danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:45 AM
. * * Re: A98E Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS Matt033   Fri Aug 27 2004 07:22 AM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS meto   Thu Aug 26 2004 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances will cause great worry and stress for CONUS h2ocean   Thu Aug 26 2004 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:28 PM
. * * Can I breath easy? Cycloneye   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? LI Phil   Thu Aug 26 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? LI Phil   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:42 PM
. * * who is roberta? & i think ridge is building in as we speak LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re:A More W Component? javlin   Thu Aug 26 2004 11:19 PM
. * * Re:A More W Component? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 12:29 AM
. * * Frances in Florida? FSU GRAD   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:13 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? EriktheFled   Fri Aug 27 2004 02:29 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Matt033   Fri Aug 27 2004 03:29 AM
. * * Re:5AM Discussion danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:16 AM
. * * Re:5AM Discussion LadyStorm   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:11 AM
. * * Re:5AM Discussion James88   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Off Current Topic danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2004 06:31 AM
. * * Very Quick...very EARLY post LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 05:54 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Frances in Florida? Steve   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:27 AM
. * * Re:A More W Component? Clark   Fri Aug 27 2004 01:01 AM
. * * when the moderators.... rickonboat   Thu Aug 26 2004 07:25 PM
. * * what, me worry? HanKFranK   Thu Aug 26 2004 08:01 PM
. * * Re: what, me worry? Clark   Thu Aug 26 2004 08:44 PM
. * * Re: what, me worry? GuppieGrouper   Thu Aug 26 2004 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Can I breath easy? ticka1   Thu Aug 26 2004 07:05 PM
. * * wonder what the insurance companies are thinking rickonboat   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns Rabbit   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Frances deepening, closer concerns Keith234   Thu Aug 26 2004 06:04 PM

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