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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: The Sun Sets on Frances
      Sat Aug 28 2004 06:47 PM

Interesting day in the tropics. Frances turned IV, Gaston got named and is probably headed for hurricane status tomorrow daytime, and 98L (or whatever it is now) look to be on the way. I wish I could cut and paste all the chaos Bastardi's got up toady. He's touched on everything from a triple pin-wheel solution to a westerly trend in the models to Frances missing the US to the east. There are a lot of options. Great stuff and well worth a 30 day free trial even if you don't renew.

I'm still thinking South Carolina with Gaston (pretty evident). I originally had it going in as a potentially strong tropical storm. Though it could approach hurricane status, my hunch is that it gets up between 55-70mph before landfall. It's also doing a good job of chilling the waters off the Carolinas' coasts which could be key in the future should Frances follow my idea and head for southern North Carolina. TD #8/98L or whatever it is is probably coming west with the ridge but at a farther north lattitude. I can't say if it will make landfall, play fujiwara or become absorbed into a frontal trof and become extratropical. Interesting week ahead. I predict lots of people find ways to steer the storm in their own direction.

Welcome back Robert. And rickonboat, I like your solution as usual. One of these days.../pinkfloyd

TPS

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 28 2004 06:47 PM
. * * Recon on Gaston Clark   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Recon on Gaston Storm Cooper   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Recon on Gaston RevUp   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Frances Models Maitland   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:18 PM
. * * Getting Ready for Frances WXMAN RICHIE   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Getting Ready for Frances GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Getting Ready for Frances k___g   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:21 PM
. * * NEW THREAD LI Phil   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up meto   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up Keith234   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up meto   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:38 PM
. * * Reality Check, Lets not jump the gun... Cocoa Beach   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up LadyStorm   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up joepub1   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up FlaRebel   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:04 PM
. * * from the NWS Melbourne Discussion at 3pm Jamiewx   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up ShaggyDude   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:20 PM
. * * Frances T Number recmod   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:29 PM
. * * Gaston nearing hurricane strength Clark   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength SC Bill   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength Clark   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength StormLover   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength Keith234   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength rickonboat   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength Hurric   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:44 PM
. * * Officially a CAT IV LI Phil   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV Hurric   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV rickonboat   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV Robert   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV meto   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:35 PM
. * * New Orleans area forcast.... long term Frank P   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans area forcast.... long term Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:37 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans area forcast.... long term meto   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:51 PM
. * * The Sun Sets on Frances Keith234   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:14 PM
. * * Re: The Sun Sets on Frances GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:36 PM
. * * Re: The Sun Sets on Frances Steve   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:47 PM
. * * Gaston and Frances zacros   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:08 PM
. * * Re: Frances is a Monster Maitland, FL   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:06 PM
. * * Re: Frances is a Monster Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV Frank P   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV Keith234   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:40 PM
. * * eyewall rickonboat   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Re: eyewall Cocoa Beach   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: eyewall ShaggyDude   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Officially a CAT IV Cocoa Beach   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:56 PM
. * * HOLY 5H!+! LI Phil   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Re: HOLY 5H!+! Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:41 PM
. * * Re: HOLY 5H!+! Clark   Sat Aug 28 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Cat 4 MikeG   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Cat 4 meto   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength HCW   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Gaston nearing hurricane strength LI Phil   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:14 PM
. * * cat 5's are rare.....this is a big August rickonboat   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Frances Cat. 4 Maitland, FL   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Frances T Number recmod   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up ticka1   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up Rabbit   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up Maitland, FL   Sat Aug 28 2004 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up Rabbit   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:32 AM
. * * Gaston LadyStorm   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:45 AM
. * * Golly.. RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Aug 28 2004 12:27 AM
. * * Re: Golly.. Floridacane   Sat Aug 28 2004 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Golly.. LadyStorm   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:09 AM
. * * Re: Golly.. jlauderdal   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:19 AM
. * * Re: TD 7 danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:34 AM
. * * Re: TD 7 LadyStorm   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Golly.. Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Aug 28 2004 01:12 AM
. * * Re: Golly.. danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2004 02:12 AM
. * * Re: 0615z Satellite Obs danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2004 03:03 AM
. * * So far...Frances is on track rmbjoe1954   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:09 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Hurric   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:09 AM
. * * saturday AM situation HanKFranK   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:43 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track LadyStorm   Sat Aug 28 2004 06:14 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:24 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Kevin   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:46 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:09 AM
. * * observations? RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:22 AM
. * * Re: observations? SC Bill   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:55 AM
. * * Re: observations? Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:35 AM
. * * Re: observations? HanKFranK   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:30 AM
. * * 9:30 update HanKFranK   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:34 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Rabbit   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:22 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:37 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:41 AM
. * * Floyd vs. Frances VADavid   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:46 AM
. * * Interesting 00 GFS model run Frank P   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:59 AM
. * * NWS S FL early morning discussion references the GFS Frank P   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run HCW   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:25 AM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run Southern4sure   Sat Aug 28 2004 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run Frank P   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run joepub1   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:52 AM
. * * still a TD at 11? Rabbit   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Interesting 00 GFS model run Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Floyd vs. Frances Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Floyd vs. Frances Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:56 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:19 AM
. * * Re: So far...Frances is on track Steve   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:44 AM
. * * TD 7 mikeG   Sat Aug 28 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: TD 7 danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2004 02:21 AM
. * * Re: TD 7 mikeG   Sat Aug 28 2004 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Golly.. HanKFranK   Sat Aug 28 2004 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up LI Phil   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 7 Forms off South Carolina Coast, Tropical Storm Watches Up caneman   Fri Aug 27 2004 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Frances HuRRi   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Frances edwinberrios   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Frances Frank P   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Frances JohnW   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:58 PM
. * * threats HanKFranK   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:25 PM
. * * Re: threats scottsvb1   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:52 PM
. * * Re: threats meto   Fri Aug 27 2004 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Frances HuRR   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Frances VADavid   Fri Aug 27 2004 10:20 PM

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