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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
TS Rafael
ADV#29 9:00 am EDT
26.3N 91.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Nnw at 3 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks
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S. Hirschb.
Unregistered




Re: Feedback
      Sun Aug 29 2004 10:55 PM

Keep in mind folks that Frances is over a 1000 miles away from the Florida coast. Still lots of time for things to change. Frances winds are at 125 as read from the plane, and has encountered some shear. I wouldn't be surprised if she weakens a bit. But once she rounds the base of the ridge I expect here to intensify again, as shear should abate UL conditions should improve, and SSTs are 29 -30 degrees C. By Wednesday we should have a better idea on where she's going. No need to panic! she's a slow mover now. But as the ridge strengthens aas Gaston and Hermine evacuate to the NNE, Frances' Forward speed should pick up again.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms MikeCAdministrator Sun Aug 29 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms delta   Mon Aug 30 2004 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms delta   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:41 PM
. * * Link to current conditions in Antigua Cocoa Beach   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:35 AM
. * * Got one of my gut feelings right. Cocoa Beach   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 07:46 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms JustMe   Mon Aug 30 2004 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:08 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Wxwatcher2   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Keith234   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:36 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Tom-OrmondBch   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:31 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Keith234   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ed in Va   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:45 AM
. * * Re: Frances track doug   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Floridacane   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Frances track hankie   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Frances track SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Frances track Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Frances track recmod   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Frances track-GFDL model doug   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Frances track Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Wxwatcher2   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:30 PM
. * * Hermine Keith234   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:42 PM
. * * Surf's Up dudes... LI Phil   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:53 PM
. * * Frances' Path & Intensity + "Alarmists" Comment Colleen A.   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:32 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Path & Intensity + "Alarmists" Comment GuppieGrouper   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Path & Intensity + "Alarmists" Comment CAPE CORAL   Mon Aug 30 2004 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Path & Intensity + "Alarmists" Comment HCW   Mon Aug 30 2004 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Path & Intensity + "Alarmists" Comment Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 03:50 PM
. * * NEW THREAD LI Phil   Mon Aug 30 2004 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Path & Intensity + "Alarmists" Comment Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Path & Intensity + "Alarmists" Comment Frank P   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... joepub1   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:21 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... troy2   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:26 PM
. * * 18Z GFS joepub1   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:38 PM
. * * Re: 18Z GFS Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:40 PM
. * * Re: 18Z GFS ShaggyDude   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... LI Phil   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... BillD   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes...GFS Track doug   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:47 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes...GFS Track Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes...GFS Track alan   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... GuppieGrouper   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... joepub1   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... joepub1   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... Rasvar   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... GuppieGrouper   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... LI Phil   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... Allison   Mon Aug 30 2004 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... ShaggyDude   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Surf's Up dudes... Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Frances track Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Frances track scottsvb1   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Hurric   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Frances track RICHIE AT WORK   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Frances track Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Frances track Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Cane Watcher   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:37 AM
. * * 97L Keith234   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:43 AM
. * * Re: 97L Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:49 AM
. * * Re: 97L Keith234   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:04 PM
. * * Re: 97L Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:07 PM
. * * Re: 97L jbcmh81   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:57 PM
. * * Re: 97L troy2   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:00 PM
. * * Re: 97L Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:04 PM
. * * Re: 97L RICHIE AT WORK   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:04 PM
. * * Re: 97L Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:06 PM
. * * Models On Frances rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 30 2004 02:27 PM
. * * Re: 97L ShaggyDude   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:08 PM
. * * Frances Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Ed in Va   Mon Aug 30 2004 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Larry   Mon Aug 30 2004 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Frances track doug   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Rasvar   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Redbird   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Frances track LI Phil   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Frances track ShaggyDude   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:39 AM
. * * Gaston Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Frances track Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:14 AM
. * * models Rabbit   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:53 AM
. * * Re: models Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:59 AM
. * * Re: models rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:57 AM
. * * Re: models jth   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:01 AM
. * * Re: models melissa   Mon Aug 30 2004 10:15 AM
. * * Re: models ShaggyDude   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:56 AM
. * * Re: Frances track GuppieGrouper   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:49 AM
. * * Re: Frances track rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 30 2004 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms meto   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms alan   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Lake Toho   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Lake Toho   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:12 PM
. * * Re: From the 11pm discussion danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Lake Toho   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:16 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms et1516   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms et1516   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:33 PM
. * * NOGAPS Robert   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms alan   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: TWC danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:50 PM
. * * Models use of history ConcernedinMiami   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:34 PM
. * * Feedback RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Feedback Steve   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Feedback AgentB   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Feedback S. Hirschb.   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Feedback Dennis S   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Official NWS Forecasts WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Keith234   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Floridacane   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Floridacane   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 06:55 AM
. * * Re: Models use of history Jeffmidtown   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 30 2004 06:50 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update summercyclone   Mon Aug 30 2004 07:43 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Keith234   Mon Aug 30 2004 08:02 AM
. * * Lest we forget... Ricreig   Mon Aug 30 2004 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Lest we forget... LONNY307   Mon Aug 30 2004 07:43 AM
. * * Re: Model Update danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 30 2004 01:00 AM
. * * Re: Models use of history Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:31 PM
. * * West Gulf! SoonerShawn   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: West Gulf! danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:47 PM
. * * Re: West Gulf! Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history ShaggyDude   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:55 PM
. * * Frances WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Models use of history Lake Toho   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms MikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms ShaggyDude   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:48 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:03 PM
. * * triad on the 29th HanKFranK   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:35 PM
. * * Re: triad on the 29th Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Re: triad on the 29th alan   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:00 PM
. * * Re: triad on the 29th Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:15 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:12 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath Floridacane   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:16 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:45 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Frances danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:56 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:38 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath ShaggyDude   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:34 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath Keith234   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:33 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath Floridacane   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:06 PM
. * * Re: FL Swath h2ocean   Sun Aug 29 2004 10:21 PM
. * * Frances' Wobbles rmbjoe1954   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Wobbles ShaggyDude   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Wobbles Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Wobbles BabyCat   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Wobbles BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Wobbles Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Frances' Wobbles MikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Recon MikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Gaston Landfalls in South Carolina, Tropical Storm Hermine Forms Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:27 PM

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