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#Beryl forms in the Central Atlantic and forecast to become a hurricane over the weekend, Hurricane and Tropical watches for some of the Windwards likely issued tomorrow.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#3 10:00 am EDT
9.8N 45.5W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: 2002 and 2003
      Tue Aug 27 2002 10:47 PM

The last year without a Major was 1994. I'll admit that I was a bit undecided as to the Majors - waivered between None and One. Usually, in order to develop a Major Hurricane you need ideal conditions over a fairly long stretch, OR you need a very slow moving system that avoids its own upwelling while moving through a very favorable area of the basin. The latter case is a remote possibility, but the former has not yet existed in the basin this year and I don't see much chance for long-stretch ideal conditions - they take time to develop. Remember, 4 more storms in the next 8 weeks is not exactly washing out the rest of the season
Cheers,
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2002 and 2003 Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Aug 27 2002 10:47 PM
. * * Re: 2002 and 2003 Kevin   Wed Aug 28 2002 06:14 PM
. * * crow, ed? Anonymous (HF)   Thu Aug 29 2002 04:05 PM
. * * Re: 2002 and 2003 Anonymous (HF)   Tue Aug 27 2002 09:07 AM
. * * Re: 2002 and 2003 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 27 2002 10:47 PM

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