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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
Ptnl One
ADV#3A 8:00 am EDT
21.5N 92.8W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
N at 6 mph
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: 2002 and 2003
      Wed Aug 28 2002 02:47 AM

The last year without a Major was 1994. I'll admit that I was a bit undecided as to the Majors - waivered between None and One. Usually, in order to develop a Major Hurricane you need ideal conditions over a fairly long stretch, OR you need a very slow moving system that avoids its own upwelling while moving through a very favorable area of the basin. The latter case is a remote possibility, but the former has not yet existed in the basin this year and I don't see much chance for long-stretch ideal conditions - they take time to develop. Remember, 4 more storms in the next 8 weeks is not exactly washing out the rest of the season
Cheers,
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2002 and 2003 Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Aug 28 2002 02:47 AM
. * * Re: 2002 and 2003 Kevin   Wed Aug 28 2002 10:14 PM
. * * crow, ed? Anonymous (HF)   Thu Aug 29 2002 08:05 PM
. * * Re: 2002 and 2003 Anonymous (HF)   Tue Aug 27 2002 01:07 PM
. * * Re: 2002 and 2003 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 28 2002 02:47 AM

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