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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
21.5N 92.8W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
N at 6 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Kevin
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Back from studying for a couple hours...
      Wed Aug 28 2002 09:44 PM

Looks like I'm well prepared for the test tomorrow, so, lets talk tropics. I saw the 5:30 PM TWO (thanks for posting it) and you said some lit a match off? Comparped to the last few weeks, it looks like someone set a bomb off in the Atlantic! I also see another area for the TWO later tonight, the wave moving off of Africa.
E Atl wave has lost some convection, but they always do this. The wave is going through and organizational phase and convection should explode later tomorrow. I'm also really tired of hearing the persistant bullshit about this wave dying before it reaches the islands. Um, last time I checked, the shear was going to lighten up significantly in the Caribbean by 48 hours, long before the wave ever arrives. The only problem I see is that it will encounter some shear around 45-50W, but I see it overcoming this.

The wave east of Florida should be a slow development candidate by the end of this week. An upper-level ridge is building in and that spells F-A-V-O-R-A-B-L-E.

The area of convection in the Caribbean looks more like a trof of low pressure than a wave, this is probably because of the shear. However, I am beginning to see a very slow development out of this as the ridge builds in.

Kevin

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* On the 'Verde' of a New System? CFHCAdministrator Wed Aug 28 2002 09:44 PM
. * * It's here! SirCane   Thu Aug 29 2002 01:56 PM
. * * Re: It's here! Anonymous   Thu Aug 29 2002 02:29 PM
. * * Re: It's here! Anonymous   Thu Aug 29 2002 03:19 PM
. * * 93L Anonymous (HF)   Thu Aug 29 2002 04:16 PM
. * * burst or bust Anonymous (HF)   Thu Aug 29 2002 07:40 PM
. * * ok ok, one more cor Anonymous (HF)   Thu Aug 29 2002 07:42 PM
. * * Re: ok ok, one more cor Anonymous   Thu Aug 29 2002 07:48 PM
. * * What I notice Anonymous   Fri Aug 30 2002 01:00 PM
. * * Could be TD4 soon Alex k   Thu Aug 29 2002 01:13 AM
. * * Interesting note for the Gulf and Texas... Steve   Thu Aug 29 2002 02:15 AM
. * * higher Anonymous (HF)   Thu Aug 29 2002 02:21 AM
. * * Ship reports Robert   Thu Aug 29 2002 03:19 AM
. * * 92L etc Anonymous (HF)   Thu Aug 29 2002 11:47 AM
. * * Re: 92L etc JustMe   Thu Aug 29 2002 12:25 PM
. * * Still acting up Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 09:34 PM
. * * Back from studying for a couple hours... Kevin   Wed Aug 28 2002 09:44 PM
. * * Models still seem confused on future TD4/Dolly. Kevin   Thu Aug 29 2002 12:21 AM
. * * NRL has it as noname garyb   Thu Aug 29 2002 01:30 PM
. * * Re: NRL has it as noname Cycloneye   Thu Aug 29 2002 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Models still seem confused on future TD4/Dolly. Anonymous   Thu Aug 29 2002 12:46 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 28 2002 09:26 PM
. * * eh Anonymous (HF)   Wed Aug 28 2002 09:30 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 09:09 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 07:35 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Cycloneye   Wed Aug 28 2002 08:17 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? caneman   Wed Aug 28 2002 08:31 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System?Mebbe not.... Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 05:03 PM
. * * IHS? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 09:08 PM
. * * Cape Verde wave and western Atlantic waves. Kevin   Wed Aug 28 2002 07:10 PM
. * * many things of interest Anonymous (HF)   Wed Aug 28 2002 06:50 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 04:50 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 03:10 PM
. * * 11am twd Anonymous (HF)   Wed Aug 28 2002 03:39 PM
. * * TD this afternoon or night Cycloneye   Wed Aug 28 2002 03:49 PM
. * * Re: TD this afternoon or night Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 04:28 PM
. * * Re: TD this afternoon or night Caneman   Wed Aug 28 2002 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TD this afternoon or night Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 04:17 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 02:55 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 02:58 PM
. * * Re: On the 'Verde' of a New System? Anonymous   Wed Aug 28 2002 02:05 AM
. * * 92L Anonymous (HF)   Wed Aug 28 2002 02:59 AM
. * * TD very soon Cycloneye   Wed Aug 28 2002 01:57 PM

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