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#Beryl on track to become a Major while crossing or near the Windwards. Low behind it now Invest #96L with 70% odds. #94L in Bay of Campeche as well. What month is this?
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
10.5N 52.2W
Wind: 90MPH
Pres: 983mb
Moving:
W at 20 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

LI Phil
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Eye replacement
      Tue Aug 31 2004 08:37 PM

"Concentric eyewall cycles" (or "eyewall replacement cycle" ) naturally occur in intense tropical cyclones , i.e. major hurricanes (winds > 50 m/s, 100 kt, 115 mph) or Catories 3, 4, and 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. As tropical cyclones reach this threshold of intensity, they usually - but not always - have an eyewall and radius of maximum winds that contract to a very small size, around 10 to 25 km [5 to 15 mi]. At this point, some of the outer rainbands may organize into an outer ring of thunderstorms that slowly moves inward and robs the inner eyewall of its needed moisture and momentum. During this phase, the tropical cyclone is weakening (i.e. the maximum winds die off a bit and the central pressure goes up). Eventually the outer eyewall replaces the inner one completely and the storm can be the same intensity as it was previously or, in some cases, even stronger. A concentric eyewall cycle occurred in Hurricane Andrew (1992) before landfall near Miami: a strong intensity was reached, an outer eyewall formed, this contracted in concert with a pronounced weakening of the storm, and as the outer eyewall completely replaced the original one the hurricane reintensified. Another example is Hurricane Allen (1980) which went through repeated eyewall replacement cycles -- going from Categrory 5 to Category 3 status several times. To learn more about concentric eyewall cycles, read Willoughby et al. (1982) and Willoughby (1990a).

It was the discovery of concentric eyewall cycles that was prtially responsible for the end of the U.S. Governements's hurricane modification experiment Project STORMFURY, since what the scientists had hoped to produce through seeding was happening frequently as a natural part of hurricane dynamics.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Eye replacement Keith234 Tue Aug 31 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Eye replacement Clark   Fri Feb 18 2005 01:23 AM
. * * Spring Tornadic Activity B.C.Francis   Sat Apr 02 2005 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Spring Tornadic Activity Clark   Sun Apr 03 2005 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Spring Tornadic Activity B.C.Francis   Sun Apr 03 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Spring Tornadic Activity Clark   Wed May 04 2005 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Spring Tornadic Activity B.C.Francis   Wed May 11 2005 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Spring Tornadic Activity Clark   Thu May 12 2005 04:27 PM
. * * Questions and Answers to Landfall Probability Numbers B.C.Francis   Tue May 03 2005 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Questions and Answers to Landfall Probability Numbers B.C.Francis   Tue May 03 2005 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Eye replacement Clark   Tue Aug 31 2004 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Eye replacement scott   Fri Oct 22 2004 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Eye replacement Keith234   Fri Oct 22 2004 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Eye replacement LI Phil   Tue Aug 31 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Eye replacement Keith234   Tue Aug 31 2004 09:28 PM

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