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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

John C
Unregistered

Tropical Depression #4 Is now TS Dolly
Thu Aug 29 2002 03:14 PM

The system everyone was watching in the eastern Atlantic, is now Tropical Depression #4. It's moving west northwest at 16 mph, and is expected to strengthen. We will be keeping a close eye out on this one.

5:00 PM Update: HELLO DOLLY

7PM Update by Mike C:
Tropical Storm Dolly is moving westward (wnw) now and will continue on this trek for a few days. It's a bit too early to determine if it will be a fish spinner or not so we'll wait a bit longer. As of now I think it has a chance at a run toward the NE Caribbean islands, but (as one would figure) just as much or more of it moving away. This is all several days out, so we'll have time to watch it.

The System north of the Bahamas isn't looking as good tonight. It probably won't develop and may cause a bunch of rain for us later. Still, we will watch it, as things could change.

The system in the Caribbean could strengthen slowly, Aircraft Recon is being sent to it later on.

Areas of interest are marked below by John's annotated image:

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.

- [john@flhurricane.com]

Edited by CFHC (Fri Aug 30 2002 01:32 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Depression #4 Is now TS Dolly	John C	Thu Aug 29 2002 03:14 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4 Is now TS Dolly	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 09:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4 Is now TS Dolly	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 07:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4 Is now TS Dolly	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 07:54 PM
I don't see anything in the gulf	SirCane	Fri Aug 30 2002 07:38 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4 Is now TS Dolly	Cocoa Beach	Fri Aug 30 2002 11:18 AM
Texas Heads Up for Next Week...	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 12:00 PM
Dolly near hurricane status	Cycloneye	Fri Aug 30 2002 01:16 PM
Re just east of winward islands	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 02:37 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 08:48 PM
Troy's post re: 'Looks like 1995'	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 08:11 PM
Dolly forms!	Rich B	Thu Aug 29 2002 08:49 PM
dolly/93L/elsewhere	Anonymous (HF)	Thu Aug 29 2002 09:12 PM
Dolly will definitely not be an easy recurver/93L.	Kevin	Thu Aug 29 2002 10:12 PM
Thoughts and Comments?	wxman007	Thu Aug 29 2002 10:27 PM
Re: Thoughts and Comments?	Colleen A.	Fri Aug 30 2002 02:53 PM
GOM LOW	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 02:56 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Colleen A.	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:01 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Anonymous-doug	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:18 PM
Re: Greatest threat	Anonymous-doug	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:37 PM
changes	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:36 PM
Re: changes	troy	Fri Aug 30 2002 09:39 PM
Dolly forecast #1 (albeit late)	Kevin	Fri Aug 30 2002 10:22 PM
GOM Tightening?	Rich B	Fri Aug 30 2002 09:48 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:35 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:09 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:11 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Colleen A.	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:40 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 05:43 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Colleen A.	Fri Aug 30 2002 07:54 PM
Re: GOM LOW / Colleen and Anonymous	Rich B	Fri Aug 30 2002 09:26 PM
Re: GOM LOW / Colleen and Anonymous	Colleen A.	Fri Aug 30 2002 11:08 PM
Convection trying to refire with Dolly	Cycloneye	Sat Aug 31 2002 12:19 AM
Re: Convection trying to refire with Dolly	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 12:20 AM
Undecided Dolly...forecast #2 (difficult forecast)	Kevin	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:48 AM
my take	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:34 AM
Re: my take	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:08 AM
Re: my take	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:46 AM
BUSY WEEKEND AHEAD	WXMAN RICHIE	Sat Aug 31 2002 12:01 PM
Re: BUSY WEEKEND AHEAD	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 12:50 PM
invest 94L	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:23 PM
Re: invest 94L	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:07 PM
Re: invest 94L	Anonymous	Sun Sep 01 2002 02:47 PM
Re: invest 94L	doug	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:16 PM
Re: invest 94L	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:13 PM
Hey Gary!!!!	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:30 PM
Edouard north of Bahamas ???	Cycloneye	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:54 PM
DEPRESSION ALREADY?????	WXMAN RICHIE	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:58 PM
Re: DEPRESSION ALREADY?????	doug	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:49 PM
Dolly forecast #3	Kevin	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:41 PM
Re: BUSY WEEKEND AHEAD	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:19 PM
further obs	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Aug 30 2002 06:40 PM
Gulf low	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 06:56 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Rich B	Fri Aug 30 2002 03:12 PM
I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	Kevin	Thu Aug 29 2002 10:41 PM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	Anonymous-troy	Fri Aug 30 2002 03:17 PM
East of Islands	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 03:28 PM
Re: Dolly hotting up fast....	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 03:29 PM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:17 AM
tomorrow	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:56 AM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:16 AM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	troy	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:03 AM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 04:13 AM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 02:58 AM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	Anonymous	Fri Aug 30 2002 02:57 AM
Re: I'm inclined to agree, Jason.	brew	Fri Aug 30 2002 02:25 AM
I agree with both	Cycloneye	Thu Aug 29 2002 11:10 PM
Re: Dolly forms!	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 08:52 PM
image reminds me of 95	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 07:53 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 07:50 PM
2:00 PM EST MODEL RUN ON TD #4	garyb	Thu Aug 29 2002 07:16 PM
Intresting Loop	Cocoa Beach	Thu Aug 29 2002 07:10 PM
GFDL TEST 93L	garyb	Thu Aug 29 2002 05:44 PM
Re: GFDL TEST 93L	Colleen A.	Thu Aug 29 2002 06:45 PM
TEST ON 93L	garyb	Thu Aug 29 2002 05:27 PM
Where we actually need to be looking---sw carib?	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 04:31 PM
Re: Where we actually need to be looking---sw carib?	Colleen A.	Thu Aug 29 2002 05:44 PM
Re: Where we actually need to be looking---sw carib?	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 06:49 PM
Re: Where we actually need to be looking---sw carib?	Colleen A.	Thu Aug 29 2002 06:58 PM
This is what I see...	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 05:28 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4	J.J.	Thu Aug 29 2002 04:21 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 03:39 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 04:09 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4	Cycloneye	Thu Aug 29 2002 03:26 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4	Anonymous	Thu Aug 29 2002 03:25 PM

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