#Beryl now a Hurricane with 75mph. Now Forecast to be a 120mph Major Hurricane near the Windwards on Monday. Hurricane Warnings now up for Barbados, Watches for other areas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
304 (Idalia)
, Major:
304 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia)
Major:
304 (Idalia)
Well at least the UKMET model does, and the GFS did over last weekend. I checked back to the text tropical models on 8/29 at 00Z. The BAMD and BAMM have the best success of the 4 tropical models. Both being close to the actual NHC position. BAMM has the best track record the last 2 days, in the 48 and 72 hour forecasts. It was 0.0/ 0.8E off at 48 hours. About 52nm. and....0.3S/ 0.6E off at 72 hrs. About 38nm
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