I wouldn't bank on TD Four's long-term prospects. The AVN, NOGAPS, and MRF all show the persistence of an upper-level trough to its northwest through at least 72 hours. Assuming this system continues tracking WNW, it will probably get picked up by the upper-low. At the very least, it will encounter strong westerly shear.
So in the final analysis, I wouldn't be surprised if it recurves well east of the Antilles. Of course, nature is full of surprises, but this is the way I think things look for now.
0 registered and 48 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 13485
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center