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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
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DroopGB31
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 122
Loc: Pensacola
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening
      Wed Sep 01 2004 09:08 PM

I have a question for some pro's or someone who know's more about models than I do. Ok, we all know that strong hurricanes, (and Im pretty sure you can classify this a strong hurricane) they tend to strengthen the ridge thats above them correct? My question is, Do the models understand this or are they able to predict if this is occuring. I really dont understand how they are turning so far north. Do they think the weak trough in the east right now will weaken the ridge and cause a turn? The trough looks to be lifting out quickly and becoming zonal, so wouldnt that mean less effect on the ridge? Any insight would be very helpful, Thanks!

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Frances in the Evening MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 01 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Neptune   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening 52255225   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening spook   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Mooshie-SC   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:20 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... MIkeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:25 PM
. * * wobbles, eyewall stunts HanKFranK   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts rickonboat   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:38 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts WeatherNLU   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:14 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:26 PM
. * * 11:00 will be telling... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:21 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:41 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Brett Adair   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Dropsondes.... Big Lot Specials next month Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:02 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:29 PM
. * * 11pm Discussion Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes BabyCat   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:45 PM
. * * Outflow Improving recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:58 PM
. * * WOW...see comments... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:20 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:35 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:51 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... Redbird   Thu Sep 02 2004 07:19 AM
. * * New Thread John C   Thu Sep 02 2004 07:24 AM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... meto   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:34 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:29 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving Seele   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Melbourne Weather Statement recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Melbourne Weather Statement RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:31 PM
. * * Three Key Statements from Stewart..... did you catch em Florida Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Now it's a tad more clear... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Now it's a tad more clear... Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Now it's a tad more clear... Bev   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Now it's a tad more clear... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:32 PM
. * * Watches WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:24 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:51 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:43 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RockledgeRick   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:56 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:02 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:52 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:49 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:03 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:05 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... StormHound   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:00 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:07 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... nppam   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:05 PM
. * * Pretty good loop... teal61   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Excellent forecast from Gary Gray Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:32 PM
. * * from left field HanKFranK   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:12 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:47 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Still no Hurricane Watch for South FL BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Duval County and St. Johns County Neptune   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Duval County and St. Johns County kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Duval County and St. Johns County ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Humanriff   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:26 PM
. * * Re: whats up with link? fred08   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Janill   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Heather   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening bobbi   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening luki   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening john03   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Tarpon   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening spook   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Tarpon   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening andy1tom   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:39 PM
. * * GFDL Doombot!   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:46 PM
. * * Models SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: GFDL teal61   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Doombot!   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:09 PM
. * * Re: GFDL wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Shawn W.   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:13 PM
. * * Re: GFDL annon.   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:18 PM
. * * Re: GFDL rjp   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Palm Beach County WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:07 PM
. * * Re: GFDL spook   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: GFDL BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:18 PM
. * * For all you Wobble Watchers Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:23 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:36 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:57 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers CantoreFan   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers eligrace   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Cantore LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers Keith234   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:51 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:56 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:02 PM
. * * Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy zacros   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy nppam   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy PFSThunder   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:08 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:31 PM
. * * A request & A challenge... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:53 PM
. * * Frances WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Frances Kevin   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Frances andy1tom   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Frances ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening 52255225   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening JeffSD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Humanriff   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * won't get in the gulf with this one... rickonboat   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Cat 5 Rick Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: won't get in the gulf with this one... 52255225   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:52 PM
. * * Re: won't get in the gulf with this one... Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:37 PM
. * * Eyewall Doombot!   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Eyewall BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening HanKFranK   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening InitinORL   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening WeatherWoman   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Hurricane Audio... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening fred08   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:37 PM
. * * Re: recon mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Robert   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening andy1tom   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Alex K.   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:39 PM
. * * Upon further review... Kevin   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:23 PM

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