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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

CFHC

Reged:
Posts: 149
Loc: East Central Florida

Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics
Sat Aug 31 2002 01:30 PM

Update at 5PM:
May have jumped the gun on the TD5 rumor. In any case, we could be looking at a TD later tonight or tomorrow.

Update at 4PM:
94L will be becoming Tropical Depression #5 at 5pm. More coming soon....

Original Update:

It is Labor Day weekend and the tropics are firing up.

The system (94L) just east-northeast of the northern Bahamas is looking more interesting by the hour. Since this system is so close the east coast of Florida it needs to be watched by all interests along our coast. This system very likely could be Tropical Depression #5 by the end of today.

There is a possibility that it could just die out (although I doubt it). The National Hurricane Center is sending recon out this afternoon to check it out.

In any case, it could bring a lot of rain to Florida for Labor Day. We are definitely keeping a close eye on this one.

Dolly seems to be holding its own at this time (barely) and it continues on its west northwest track. It has the potential of encountering some more heavy shear in the future and may dip below Tropical storm Strength for a while. However, I don't see it dissapating.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.
- [john@flhurricane.com]

Edited by MikeC (Sat Aug 31 2002 05:11 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	CFHC	Sat Aug 31 2002 01:30 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 10:23 PM
Ok, What's This All About?	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:01 AM
Anonymous	BillD	Sat Aug 31 2002 10:59 PM
Re: Anonymous	MelbDave	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:10 PM
Re: Anonymous	Mitch	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:26 PM
Re: Anonymous	StormHound	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:08 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	MikeC	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:17 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Joe	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:27 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:32 PM
TWC reports were incorrect...and movement of 94L.	Kevin	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:50 PM
Re: TWC reports were incorrect...and movement of 94L.	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 06:19 PM
94L etc	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Aug 31 2002 07:37 PM
Re: 94L etc	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 08:50 PM
Storm close to US on labor day(what we don't need)	Alex k	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:09 PM
Re: Storm close to US on labor day(what we don't need)	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:15 PM
Storm Location	WXMAN RICHIE	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:23 PM
Re: Storm Location	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:40 PM
Re: Storm Location	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:45 PM
Labor Day troubles.	Kevin	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:39 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:51 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:48 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:52 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Joe	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:00 PM
Hurricane Erin of '95 repeat?	SirCane	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:02 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Joe	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:03 PM
TD#5	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:11 PM
LOOKING GOOD	WXMAN RICHIE	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:17 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	MikeC	Sat Aug 31 2002 04:07 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 09:25 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Frank P	Sat Aug 31 2002 09:38 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Bruce	Sat Aug 31 2002 09:29 PM
Re:MELBOURNE FORECAST DISCUSSION LINK	Jeanine	Sun Sep 01 2002 08:44 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy2	Sun Sep 01 2002 08:43 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sun Sep 01 2002 07:59 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	k___g	Sun Sep 01 2002 08:05 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Jeanine	Sun Sep 01 2002 08:29 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	tom5r	Sun Sep 01 2002 08:44 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy2	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:28 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 01 2002 10:01 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Bruce	Sun Sep 01 2002 10:13 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	ShawnS	Sun Sep 01 2002 10:39 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Joe	Sun Sep 01 2002 10:46 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Hurric	Sun Sep 01 2002 10:57 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Steve	Sun Sep 01 2002 11:40 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	CFHC	Sun Sep 01 2002 10:50 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Joe	Sun Sep 01 2002 10:29 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy2	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:21 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Bruce	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:33 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:16 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:58 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sun Sep 01 2002 08:52 AM
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:13 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sun Sep 01 2002 07:43 AM
LOOKS LIKE A GO	WXMAN RICHIE	Sun Sep 01 2002 07:47 AM
Re: LOOKS LIKE A GO	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:08 AM
Re: LOOKS LIKE A GO	Maxx	Sun Sep 01 2002 09:13 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	damnedcat	Sun Sep 01 2002 12:00 AM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy2	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:36 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	57497479	Sun Sep 01 2002 12:19 AM
Hey garyb...	Steve	Sun Sep 01 2002 02:09 AM
Re: Hey garyb...	Rich B	Sun Sep 01 2002 04:21 AM
African wave looks impressive	Cycloneye	Sun Sep 01 2002 07:35 AM
To my friend Colleen	garyb	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:33 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Troy	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:15 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Joe	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:19 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	57497479	Sat Aug 31 2002 11:40 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Troy	Sat Aug 31 2002 09:55 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 09:21 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy	Sat Aug 31 2002 08:57 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Frank P	Sat Aug 31 2002 09:21 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Bruce	Sat Aug 31 2002 09:09 PM
ooops	troy	Sat Aug 31 2002 07:31 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy	Sat Aug 31 2002 07:29 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 05:39 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	MikeC	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:50 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	Jeanine	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:43 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	troy	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:43 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	MikeC	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:37 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Tropics	tony	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:31 PM
Re: Recon	ROB H	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:16 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Topics	ROB H	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:32 PM
Tropical Cyclone Danger Areas	garyb	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:02 PM
Re: Tropical Cyclone Danger Areas	Steve	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:23 PM
Re: Tropical Cyclone Danger Areas	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:53 PM
Re: Tropical Cyclone Danger Areas	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:47 PM
Re: Tropical Cyclone Danger Areas	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:54 PM
Re: Tropical Cyclone Danger Areas	MikeC	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:03 PM
Scrolling Red Text Question...	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:28 PM
Re: Scrolling Red Text Question...	MikeC	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:33 PM
Re: Scrolling Red Text Question...	Colleen A.	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:41 PM
Re: Tropical Cyclone Danger Areas	ROB H	Sat Aug 31 2002 03:10 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Topics	Anonymous	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:00 PM
Re: Labor Day Weekend - Action in the Topics	Joe	Sat Aug 31 2002 02:01 PM

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