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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 1710

Re: Sats...
Thu Sep 02 2004 07:45 PM

The Gulf Stream will not impact the track of Frances. It may have an impact on its intensity, depending on interactions with the Bahamas and other factors, but should at least allow the storm to maintain itself.

Today, I just think the inflow's gotten all messed up with those islands and Cuba to the south and west. The outflow is excellent and the air is no drier around the storm than it has been -- and with strong storms, due to subsidence compensating for the large rising motion in the storm itself, you'd expect quite a bit of dry air immediately around the storm.

The Southwest Florida area and Florida Keys have probably been spared the worst, though parts of them may still see tropical storm (40-50mph) winds before all is said and done. The Jacksonville and Daytona Beach areas are by no means out of the woods, especially for tropical storm force winds, but a direct landfall is likely to be further south.

Interesting note -- during the 4pm conference call from the NHC, Jacksonville NWS asked if they wanted to hoist tropical storm watches for the rest of the Florida east coast (as had apparently been previously discussed). The NHC (Avila) said no, that the forward motion and track of the storm did not warrant it at this time. He also said that he prefers hurricane watches (and likely t.s. warnings) in that situation as opposed to tropical storm watches. Just a little aside to the topic here.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	MikeC	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:45 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Robin	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:32 PM
Winds down at 11pm	Jamiewx	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:34 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:45 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm- correction	Jamiewx	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:49 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm- correction	Colleen A.	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:15 PM
NEW THREAD!	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:18 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	JaxBeachMan	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:48 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:54 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	RevUp	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:05 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	Wxwatcher2	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:14 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	HCW	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:36 PM
Re: Models	danielw	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:50 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	Joe	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:45 PM
Re: Winds down at 11pm	Rabbit	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:39 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	jiml9	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:56 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	jimmy99	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:50 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	4192	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:38 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	luki	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:44 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Hawdon Supreme	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:42 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Waiting	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:50 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic DELETED	Karen	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:40 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	obshaz	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:56 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:01 PM
Frances	Colleen A.	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:54 PM
Re: Frances	Clark	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:05 PM
Re: Frances	recmod	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:01 PM
Re: Frances	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:00 PM
Re: Frances	RevUp	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:06 PM
Re: Frances	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:30 PM
Re: Frances	AmateurJohn	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:44 PM
Re: Frances	Bev	Thu Sep 02 2004 10:29 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	obshaz	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:10 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	bobbi/lois	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:54 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	bell	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:57 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	RevRandy	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:54 PM
Lakeland taking down street lights...	Londovir	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:50 PM
Dumb newbie question about the new map and "red" and "blue" areas	Hurricaned	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:15 PM
Re: Dumb newbie question about the new map and "red" and "blue" areas	SkeetoBite	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:08 PM
Re: Dumb newbie question about the new map and "red" and "blue" areas	ThirdRay	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:24 PM
Updates	WXMAN RICHIE	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:33 PM
Re: Updates	tony	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:57 PM
Re: Updates	BillD	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:05 PM
Re: Dumb newbie question about the new map and "red" and "blue" areas	jth	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:30 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	mp3reed	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:08 PM
Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	dhcp	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:57 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	Pam was in Vero	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:41 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	Clark	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:51 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	WeatherNLU	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:53 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	Clark	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:07 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	4192	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:24 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	4192	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:58 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	Cathy	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:20 PM
Re: Restore the sanity.. PLEASE!!!!	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:05 PM
Closer... more detail/cities/streets	SkeetoBite	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:29 PM
Re: Closer... more detail/cities/streets	francois	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:42 PM
Re: Closer... more detail/cities/streets	Ricreig	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:51 PM
NEW THREAD!!!	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:56 PM
Re: Closer... more detail/cities/streets	SkeetoBite	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:53 PM
Re: Closer... more detail/cities/streets	francois	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:58 PM
Re: Closer... more detail/cities/streets	SkeetoBite	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:01 PM
Re: Closer... more detail/cities/streets	Ricreig	Fri Sep 03 2004 12:14 AM
Sats...	wxman007	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:44 PM
Re: Sats...	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:51 PM
Track	WXMAN RICHIE	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:57 PM
Re: Sats...	wxman007	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:55 PM
Re: Sats...	WeatherNLU	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:30 PM
Re: Sats...	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:47 PM
Curfews	WXMAN RICHIE	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:56 PM
Re: Sats...	MIAMIFL	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:33 PM
Re: Sats...	Hawdon Supreme	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:27 PM
Re: Sats...	Clark	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:45 PM
Re: Sats...	Hurricaned	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:50 PM
Re: Sats...	Clark	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:57 PM
Re: Sats...	unregistered	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:19 PM
Re: Sats...	jth	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:02 PM
Re: Sats...	jlauderdal	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:51 PM
Re: Sats...	GuppieGrouper	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:07 PM
Re: Sats...	RevUp	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:29 PM
Re: Sats...	kirdona	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:59 PM
Re: Sats...	jlauderdal	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:21 PM
Reports from the Bahamas	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:28 PM
Re: Reports from the Bahamas	cjzydeco	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:45 PM
Re: Reports from the Bahamas	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:51 PM
Re: Reports from the Bahamas	Jeffmidtown	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:32 PM
Re: Sats...	BillD	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:56 PM
Re: Sats...	doug	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:08 PM
Re: Sats...	cjzydeco	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:15 PM
Re: Sats...	doug	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:24 PM
Re: Sats...	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:11 PM
main board content	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:26 PM
Definite west jog IMO	Frank P	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:20 PM
8:43 vortex message	Londovir	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:28 PM
Re: 8:43 vortex message	WeatherNLU	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:33 PM
Re: 8:43 vortex message	teal61	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:45 PM
Really Starting To Wrap Up!	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:41 PM
Re: Really Starting To Wrap Up!	danielw	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:43 PM
Re: Sats...	doug	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:19 PM
Re: Sats...	BillD	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:33 PM
Old Met Vet Nash Roberts	Frank P	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:25 PM
Re: Sats...	LONNY307	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:18 PM
Re: Sats...	Jeffmidtown	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:18 PM
Re: Sats...	Bruce	Thu Sep 02 2004 09:14 PM
Re: Sats...	HCW	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:01 PM
Re: Sats...	TBAJE	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:52 PM
Re: Sats...	SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:58 PM
Re: Sats...	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:50 PM
Re: Sats...	FlaRebel	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:49 PM
Re: Closer... more detail/cities/streets	FlaRebel	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:41 PM
I find the Orlando information confusing!	Hurricaned	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:07 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	Clark	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:31 PM
NHC Update...	wxman007	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:33 PM
Re: NHC Update...	SOUTHFLAHAPPTGAL	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:40 PM
Re: NHC Update...	Ricreig	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:40 PM
Re: NHC Update...	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:36 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	Bell	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:16 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	BillD	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:37 PM
Miami, poured for five minutes and sky was blue a minute later	LoisCane	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:28 PM
Re: Miami, poured for five minutes and sky was blue a minute later	Hurricaned	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:45 PM
Orlando outlook.	Doombot!	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:49 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	Cocoa Beach	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:12 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	alan	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:10 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	Hurricaned	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:12 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	alan	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:18 PM
frances get stuck	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:35 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	spoo	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:26 PM
Re: I find the Orlando information confusing!	casps	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:09 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Tropic Mark	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:09 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	AgentB	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:18 PM
New Vortex	wxman007	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:06 PM
Re: New Vortex	caneman	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:11 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Colleen A.	Thu Sep 02 2004 04:59 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Rabbit	Thu Sep 02 2004 04:58 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Colleen A.	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:06 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	elcuco	Fri Sep 03 2004 01:19 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	wxman007	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:10 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:20 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:25 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	clyde w.	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:30 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	BillD	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:57 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	wxman007	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:00 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Chopper Davie	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:27 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Doombot!	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:28 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	Chopper Davie	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:34 PM
another 6 hours....	rickonboat	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:32 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	Todd	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:55 PM
San Salvador....	rickonboat	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:07 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:02 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	Todd	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:05 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:10 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	SirCane	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:31 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:22 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	Rabbit	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:29 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	Ricreig	Thu Sep 02 2004 11:32 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	meto	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:51 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:40 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	Karen	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:15 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:23 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	AgentB	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:38 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:42 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:31 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	52255225	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:31 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	Todd	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:17 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:35 PM
New Eye Reformation?	SoonerShawn	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:42 PM
5pm Advisory	StormHound	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:37 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory	DroopGB31	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:47 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory	wxnole	Thu Sep 02 2004 07:57 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory	AgentB	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:11 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory	BillD	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:17 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 08:28 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory	wxman007	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:52 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory	spook	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:12 PM
Re: another 6 hours....	52255225	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:35 PM
Lower wind speed at landfall?	StormHound	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:34 PM
Re: Lower wind speed at landfall?	clyde w.	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:37 PM
Re: Lower wind speed at landfall?	StormHound	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:44 PM
Re: Lower wind speed at landfall?	casps	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:48 PM
Re: Lower wind speed at landfall?	LI Phil	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:55 PM
Re: Lower wind speed at landfall?	cas	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:57 PM
Re: Lower wind speed at landfall?	casps	Thu Sep 02 2004 06:00 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	jth	Thu Sep 02 2004 05:01 PM
Re: Hurricane Frances Still on Track TD#9 forms in Eastern Atlantic	rich	Thu Sep 02 2004 04:57 PM

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