That is the question I am wrestling with tonight...it depends on forward speed and how far south it exits the peninsula...I expect a second landfall as a strong TS, but a Cat 1 is certainly not out of the question, especially if it can stay over the GOM for a while, say 18 hrs or longer. I am expecting a landfall about where NHC is calling for (which I have been calling for since Wed)...Apalachicola/Pt St Joe to PCB to Destin and inland from there.
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