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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1299
Re: Track didn't change that much
      Sat Sep 04 2004 11:11 PM

yeah its simple... she starts moving nw.... ridge is breaking down... next 24 hours critical for GOM interests....

NHC seems to have a lot of confidence in their forecast with her right now... but they always want to surprise ya......

I'll just wait and see where she exits the west coast.. ... hey they are probably right on but still... I think it already tracking below their projected path.... maybe she make up the minor difference in the coming hours....

cudos to Jason as he said many days ago that he thought she'd get into the GOM.... looks like that might happen

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Frances Approaching Florida MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 04 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite LadyStorm   Sun Sep 05 2004 01:15 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite Storm Cooper   Sun Sep 05 2004 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite Takingforever   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite scottsvb1   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite scottsvb1   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Takingforever   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:46 AM
. * * Windy LadyStorm   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Windy Ormond Suzie   Sun Sep 05 2004 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Windy Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Windy scot   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:36 AM
. * * Re: Windy scottsvb1   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Windy DroopGB31   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Windy LadyStorm   Sun Sep 05 2004 04:22 AM
. * * 3:00 SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 05 2004 03:02 AM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Ronn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Kevin   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida marlins56   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida marlins56   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:56 PM
. * * 8:00 SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:59 PM
. * * Didn't Respond Fast Enough! SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:02 PM
. * * By the way... SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida k___g   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Eyeman   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida storm1   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Pity Tampa/St. Pete RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida k___g   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:23 PM
. * * Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... h2ocean   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... gailmm   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... h2ocean   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:23 AM
. * * bad weather MIAMIBEACH   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:21 AM
. * * to John fromgainesville   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:19 AM
. * * Re: to John fromgainesville   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... gailmm   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... h2ocean   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Jeffmidtown   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... BIRDDOG   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... 52255225   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... BIRDDOG   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... 52255225   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:42 PM
. * * hi from North Miami Beach bobbistorm   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:53 PM
. * * Track didn't change that much SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much BabyCat   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much snoozer   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:28 PM
. * * radar presentation Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:20 PM
. * * Re: radar presentation...you are right bobbistorm   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Landfall Hobe Sound at 10:05 pm Wxwatcher2   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Wxwatcher2   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... snoozer   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:45 PM
. * * Since we're back up again... SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Since we're back up again... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... ThirdRay   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Ronn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Chopper Dave   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Takingforever   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:24 PM
. * * HUH????? SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Figure Skater Jeffmidtown   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida snoozer   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Alex.K   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Rubber Ducky   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Takingforever   Sat Sep 04 2004 06:45 PM
. * * East Orlando clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Question About the Ridge SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge HMY   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge Takingforever   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge Jason Siegel   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge DMFischer   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge StormHound   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Uh-oh.... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:47 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... eyewallwhat   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:49 PM
. * * Jason SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:37 PM
. * * Indian River County? StormHound   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:40 PM
. * * off topic vvvteddybearvvv   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Jason Siegel   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:05 PM

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