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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

scottsvb1
Unregistered




Re: Maps Skeetobite
      Sun Sep 05 2004 02:31 AM

I been at the NWS in ruskin today with a friend. Soo tired but we must go on. Anyways Frances made landfall as forcasted just after midnight near Stuart florida as a agruementable cat 2 with winds near 105mph. There was a drop in pressure to near 954 before recon found 957 then leveling back up around 960 at landfall. Gusts reports of up to 117mph have been reported so far near Ft Pierce.
Overall forcast looks as follows. Frances eastern eye wall should come ashore in the dawn hours giving Martin and St Lucie countys winds up to 100mph with higher gusts. Many spawned tornados and additional rainfall up to 1 foot in the N side. By afternoon the winds will drop below hurricane forces and she moves wnw and weakens over the center of the state. Expect still many feeder bands coming up around from the South and SE. Improving conditions will begin Sunday night for eastern Florida.
Over Central Florida and Tampa bay area inland hurricane warnings and Tropical storm warnings on the coast. Expect the hurricane do be downgraded by as early as 11am but maybe alittle longer into the evening as this is a large system. Expect many tornados inthe bands NW-N and NE of the center. Rainfall amounts will exceed 18 inches along and just north of the path. I expect her to exit off of Pasco County late Sunday night. Winds will be around 30-50 mph with higher gusts to the South of the path and 50-70mph in Polk and Pasco counties with higher gust near hurricane force. Monday will contiinue to bring in alot of additional rainfall as the Sw flow develops around the Se side of TS Frances by then but winds will slowly decrease during the day.
For Daytona and Ocala expect winds around 30-50mph with higher gusts, band of tornados will accompany squal lines and rainfall amounts 4-8 inches with local amounts up to 10 further south. Monday conditions will become better from Daytona to Orlando but will take till later during the afternoon along Citrus and Hernado counties.Finally Sarasota south thru Ft Myers can expect the same as above mentioned but rainfall amounts will be generally lighter totaling 1-4 inches with most up near the Sarasota - Arcadia area. Winds in Arcadia could reach 50-60mph during the afternoon for 3-6 hours as the center passes 30-50miles to the N and NE.
I do expect her to regain Hurricane strength Monday into Monday night in the Ne Gulf. Location is too early to pinpoint yet on another landfall.
On side note IVAN THE TERRIBLE might be just that in the next 24-48 hours.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Frances Approaching Florida MikeCAdministrator Sun Sep 05 2004 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite LadyStorm   Sun Sep 05 2004 01:15 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite Storm Cooper   Sun Sep 05 2004 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite Takingforever   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite scottsvb1   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Maps Skeetobite scottsvb1   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Takingforever   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:46 AM
. * * Windy LadyStorm   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Windy Ormond Suzie   Sun Sep 05 2004 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Windy Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Windy scot   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:36 AM
. * * Re: Windy scottsvb1   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Windy DroopGB31   Sun Sep 05 2004 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Windy LadyStorm   Sun Sep 05 2004 04:22 AM
. * * 3:00 SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 05 2004 03:02 AM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Ronn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Kevin   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida marlins56   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida marlins56   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:56 PM
. * * 8:00 SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:59 PM
. * * Didn't Respond Fast Enough! SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:02 PM
. * * By the way... SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida k___g   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Eyeman   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida storm1   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Pity Tampa/St. Pete RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida k___g   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:23 PM
. * * Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... h2ocean   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... gailmm   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... h2ocean   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:23 AM
. * * bad weather MIAMIBEACH   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:21 AM
. * * to John fromgainesville   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:19 AM
. * * Re: to John fromgainesville   Sun Sep 05 2004 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... gailmm   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... h2ocean   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Jeffmidtown   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... BIRDDOG   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... 52255225   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... BIRDDOG   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... 52255225   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:42 PM
. * * hi from North Miami Beach bobbistorm   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:53 PM
. * * Track didn't change that much SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much BabyCat   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Track didn't change that much snoozer   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:28 PM
. * * radar presentation Frank P   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:20 PM
. * * Re: radar presentation...you are right bobbistorm   Sat Sep 04 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Landfall Hobe Sound at 10:05 pm Wxwatcher2   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Wxwatcher2   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... snoozer   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:45 PM
. * * Since we're back up again... SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Since we're back up again... Storm Cooper   Sat Sep 04 2004 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... ThirdRay   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Ronn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon Correction... Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Chopper Dave   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Takingforever   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:24 PM
. * * HUH????? SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Figure Skater Jeffmidtown   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida snoozer   Sat Sep 04 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Alex.K   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Rubber Ducky   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Takingforever   Sat Sep 04 2004 06:45 PM
. * * East Orlando clyde w.   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Question About the Ridge SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge HMY   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge Takingforever   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge Jason Siegel   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge DMFischer   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Question About the Ridge StormHound   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Uh-oh.... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... Doombot!   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:47 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... eyewallwhat   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Uh-oh.... wxman007   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:49 PM
. * * Jason SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:37 PM
. * * Indian River County? StormHound   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:40 PM
. * * off topic vvvteddybearvvv   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaching Florida Jason Siegel   Sat Sep 04 2004 07:05 PM

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