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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 296
the state of Ivan
      Wed Sep 08 2004 11:14 PM

Last photos seem to show a slightly north of west motion, and the last picture now shows the eye has cleared out. I am wondering if an ERC has completed. I am guessing the winds will be increased by Thur. morning, since the increase in winds should spin down as a result of the sharp pressure drop earlier. It is still hard to believe the models keep shifting right. Not that I trust the ETA at this point, but at 84 hours, it has a track to the left of the others. I am thinking this will end up in the eastern GOM, but Charley was a good reminder that even short range forecasts can be challenging.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Back and Tracking Ivan MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 08 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan Clark   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan 52255225   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan wxman007   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan 52255225   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan Clark   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan wxman007   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan DroopGB31   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan scottsvb1   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan LI Phil   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan recmod   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:43 PM
. * * I'm back / Frances Stats. WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan scottsvb1   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan clyde w.   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan ShanaTX   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:07 PM
. * * happy to see you back bobbi   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:12 PM
. * * Re: pretty w/sun Fred08   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: pretty w/sun rd522525   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Re: pretty w/sun 52255225   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Major Hurricanes..Major Winter? Taking forever   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricanes..Major Winter? 52255225   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:54 PM
. * * NWS Tampa Earlier Discussion Jamiewx   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:09 PM
. * * My initial thoughts.... wxman007   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: My initial thoughts.... DroopGB31   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Re: My initial thoughts.... Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:26 PM
. * * Re: My initial thoughts.... 52255225   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:49 PM
. * * Before satellite data ShanaTX   Thu Sep 09 2004 12:05 AM
. * * Re: My initial thoughts.... scottsvb1   Thu Sep 09 2004 12:04 AM
. * * Re: My initial thoughts.... wxman007   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:26 PM
. * * Re: pretty w/sun BillD   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: pretty w/sun DroopGB31   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:48 PM
. * * 11:00 ADVISORY 52255225   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:00 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 ADVISORY Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:04 PM
. * * East coast damage alan   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:24 PM
. * * Re: East coast damage gailmm   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:35 PM
. * * Re: East coast damage h2ocean   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Re: East coast damage gailmm   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:34 PM
. * * the state of Ivan MrSpock   Wed Sep 08 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 ADVISORY Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:18 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 ADVISORY 52255225   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:26 PM
. * * Hurricane Alley Spaghetti Run Jamiewx   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:35 PM
. * * MUST READ!!!!! SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Ivan MikeG   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: pretty w/sun trinibaje   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? Fred08   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? HMY   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? Fred08   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:32 PM
. * * Models MrSpock   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:50 PM
. * * something you don't see to often JHN   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:57 PM
. * * Wobble... SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:46 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:31 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? Tazmanian93   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Accuweather Track Jamiewx   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:09 PM
. * * early take HanKFranK   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Accuweather Track Clark   Wed Sep 08 2004 10:25 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:41 PM
. * * Jeffmidtown SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:45 PM
. * * Re: bigger than Frances? BillD   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:42 PM
. * * Re: happy to see you back LI Phil   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: happy to see you back docjoe   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: happy to see you back Keith234   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan FireAng85   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan GuppieGrouper   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Novice question Southern4sure   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:51 PM
. * * WOW! SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan ms0337   Wed Sep 08 2004 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan TropiGal   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Glad to have the site back up and running jth   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Glad to have the site back up and running mbfly   Wed Sep 08 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan Bloodstar   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Back and Tracking Ivan jth   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:23 PM
. * * Ivan the Terrible rickonboat   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible Lisa NC   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible Keith234   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible BillD   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible GuppieGrouper   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible Kimberley Clark   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible Mobilian   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible jth   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible Ed in Va   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Ivan the Terrible jth   Wed Sep 08 2004 04:48 PM
. * * Florida SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Florida palmetto   Wed Sep 08 2004 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Florida clyde w.   Wed Sep 08 2004 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Florida BSakowicz   Wed Sep 08 2004 05:42 PM
. * * ivan/onward HanKFranK   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:13 PM
. * * Survived Cocoa Beach   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:23 PM
. * * Cocoa Beach SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:31 PM
. * * By the way... SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:33 PM
. * * Model data... wxman007   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Model data... OrlandoNative   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Model data... wxman007   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Model data... kelcot   Wed Sep 08 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Models SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Models BillD   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Models GuppieGrouper   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Welcome Back Flhurricanes ticka1   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Models wxman007   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:30 PM
. * * Re: By the way... trinibaje   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:34 PM
. * * Ivan Keith234   Wed Sep 08 2004 05:55 PM
. * * Hebert Box TropiGal   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Keith234   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Rad   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Rad   Wed Sep 08 2004 07:08 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Brad   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box trinibaje   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Ivan LI Phil   Wed Sep 08 2004 06:04 PM

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