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HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA. HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. #RAFAEL
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
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Ene at 17 mph
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N at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

BillD
User


Reged:
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
Re: This was interesting
      Thu Sep 09 2004 08:28 PM

It is because they don't really know. The track will continue to flip flop and change right up until a day or two before landfall. That is why they have already started evacuating the Keys, since it takes at least 2 days to do that.

This is from the 5PM Discussion, and "thereafter" refers to after 2-3 days.

THEREAFTER...THE TRACK CONTINUES TO BE
UNCERTAIN SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MODELS
DIVERGE.

Bill

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit MikeCAdministrator Thu Sep 09 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Thanks Sadie   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit captgene   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit captgene   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit/where this crap going? slwfreez   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit Bioman   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit BeachBum   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit Bioman   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit kelcot   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit kelcot   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit okiherdu   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:17 PM
. * * Map update SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit Clark   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:11 PM
. * * For what it's worth... Clark   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:14 PM
. * * Re: For what it's worth... Rasvar   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:24 PM
. * * Re: For what it's worth... wezman1   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:28 PM
. * * Re: For what it's worth... MrSpock   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:34 PM
. * * Re: For what it's worth... Clark   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:29 PM
. * * Supplies in Manatee County Gone Bev   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Supplies in Manatee County Gone Clark   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Supplies in Manatee County Gone robynsmom   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:16 PM
. * * Re: Supplies in Manatee County Gone kelcot   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:58 PM
. * * Hmmmm StormHound   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm Clark   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm Rasvar   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm BillD   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm scottsvb1   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Scottsvb StormHound   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Scottsvb StormHound   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm BillD   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:55 PM
. * * S.E. Fla in the clear based upon Spagetti? MIAMIFL   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:51 PM
. * * Re: S.E. Fla in the clear based upon Spagetti? Clark   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: S.E. Fla in the clear based upon Spagetti? MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Maps SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Maps Bev   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:12 AM
. * * Re: Maps rule   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Maps belleami   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Maps Bev   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Lived in Florida BeachBum   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Maps Terry Johnson   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Maps Wxwatcher2   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Maps Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Maps SirCane   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Maps mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:00 AM
. * * Re: Maps ewilby   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Maps Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Maps mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Maps Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Maps mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:56 AM
. * * Re: Maps Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 02:08 AM
. * * Tampa Bay Area - Flood Waters Bev   Fri Sep 10 2004 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Maps scottsvb1   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Maps meto   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:44 PM
. * * Re: The Layout javlin   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:06 AM
. * * Re: The Layout SirCane   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Accu wx javlin   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Maps SirCane   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Maps juniorgirl   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:52 PM
. * * Re: Maps scottsvb1   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Maps sullynole   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:33 PM
. * * Tired of hurricanes... Clark   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Clark   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:48 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... andy1tom   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... BillD   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Clark   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... andy1tom   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:35 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... andy1tom   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:42 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Kimster   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... ewilby   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Sissy   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:52 AM
. * * Model Shift Bev   Fri Sep 10 2004 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Model Shift scottsvb1   Fri Sep 10 2004 02:38 AM
. * * I need to go back to bed Rasvar   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:30 AM
. * * Re: I need to go back to bed recmod   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:34 AM
. * * Re: I need to go back to bed GuppieGrouper   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:41 AM
. * * Re: I need to go back to bed Rasvar   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:51 AM
. * * Wind Field Maps Justin in Miami   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:25 AM
. * * Re: Model Shift seems in agreement bobbi   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:58 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:48 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 10 2004 01:59 AM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... BillD   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... belleami   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... scottsvb1   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... Wxwatcher2   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... jaybythebay   Thu Sep 09 2004 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Tired of hurricanes... mud1967   Fri Sep 10 2004 12:08 AM
. * * Re: S.E. Fla in the clear based upon Spagetti? BillD   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:58 PM
. * * Re: S.E. Fla in the clear based upon Spagetti? scottsvb1   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:53 PM
. * * Re: S.E. Fla in the clear based upon Spagetti? scottsvb1   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm StormHound   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Hmmmm rule   Thu Sep 09 2004 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Ivan possible postponements Jeffmidtown   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Supplies in Manatee County Gone Rasvar   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:46 PM
. * * Re: For what it's worth... Martha   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:36 PM
. * * Ever so slightly shifting west.... is this a trend? Frank P   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Ever so slightly shifting west.... is this a trend? Colleen A.   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:18 PM
. * * GFS Model VolusiaMike   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:35 PM
. * * Re: GFS Model MrSpock   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:47 PM
. * * Girls Lie too.... Frank P   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Girls Lie too.... MrSpock   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Girls Lie too.... Colleen A.   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Girls Lie too.... MrSpock   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:59 PM
. * * Latest Vortex recmod   Thu Sep 09 2004 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Latest Vortex Colleen A.   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:24 PM
. * * This was interesting belleami   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting DroopGB31   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting kelcot   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:00 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting Heather   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:06 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting BillD   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting Kevin   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:34 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting Heather   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:41 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting Terra   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:50 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting kelcot   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:04 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting HadItinOrlando   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:08 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting kelcot   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:21 PM
. * * Re: This was interesting kelcot   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Here's your 8PM intermediate advisory... Kevin   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Here's your 8PM intermediate advisory... Kimster   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Here's your 8PM intermediate advisory... MrSpock   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:08 PM
. * * Vortex translation Frank P   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:13 PM
. * * Models Jamiewx   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Models Colleen A.   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Models meto   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Vortex translation MrSpock   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Vortex translation Rasvar   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Vortex translation Frank P   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Vortex translation MrSpock   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Vortex translation BillD   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Models Wxwatcher2   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Models wxman007   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Models andy1tom   Thu Sep 09 2004 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Vortex translation rd522525   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Vortex translation Kevin   Thu Sep 09 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Latest Vortex Wxwatcher2   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:32 PM
. * * Grenada, Frances, Apprentice, RUReady for... LI Phil   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Grenada, Frances, Apprentice, RUReady for... Colleen A.   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Grenada, Frances, Apprentice, RUReady for... trinibaje   Thu Sep 09 2004 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit LI Phil   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit LI Phil   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:07 PM
. * * thanks for all the excellent discussion the gulf   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:55 PM
. * * Thoughts.... wxman007   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Ivan with Double Eyewalls? Weakens a bit Steve   Thu Sep 09 2004 05:12 PM

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