Quote: It is because they don't really know. The track will continue to flip flop and change right up until a day or two before landfall. That is why they have already started evacuating the Keys, since it takes at least 2 days to do that.
This is from the 5PM Discussion, and "thereafter" refers to after 2-3 days.
THEREAFTER...THE TRACK CONTINUES TO BE UNCERTAIN SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MODELS DIVERGE.
Bill
Bingo, all you have to do is take a degree or so away from the 120 hour 5PM position and Ivan is on Florida's wc!
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