That is what will likely pull Ivan NE at some point, it is the when and how much that is still an unknown. But looking at that same WV loop, you can see the ridge pushing down (the dry air) and moving west, this is what is holding Ivan down, as the ridge weakens and backs off, or Ivan runs past the end of it, Ivan will begin to turn around to the NW then North and eventually NE. Almost all the models predict this, but they differ on when it will happen.
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