No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
21 (Milton)
, Major:
21 (Milton)
Florida - Any: 21 (Milton)
Major:
21 (Milton)
Really am...and not wanting this thing to hit anyone. There doesn't seem to be any good scenario on the horizon, that I can see...except that the hurricane gets killed when it goes through Cuba....the long range forecast, however, seems a little in doubt. I sure have to hand it to the NHC...they are WAY ahead of the game..seem to have a great handle on what is going on. I will dispense with dire prediction of Mobile for the moment...anyone see anything out there, however, that would endanger my area?....hope for sure this doesn't do to Tampa..what the possibilities are....at any rate...here is a clip of the latest from the NHC...which is why I am wondering about things...
THERE IS STILL HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS EARLY PORTION OF THE FORECAST BUT...IT BECOMES UNCERTAIN AFTER THE HURRICANE CROSSES CUBA WHEN GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT THE HURRICANE COULD CONTINUE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO OR COULD TURN NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER FLORIDA. IN FACT...THIS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DOES NOT FAVOR ONE SCENARIO MORE THAN THE OTHER...AND BRINGS THE HURRICANE NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO VERY NEAR AND EVENTUALLY OVER FLORIDA.
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