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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 275 (Idalia) , Major: 275 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 275 (Idalia) Major: 275 (Idalia)
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Movements
      Mon Sep 02 2002 03:20 AM

TD-5 is regenerating rather nicely again...and it still maintains two separate centers of rotation. NHC is following the northern one, but I've been tracking the southern one for the past 30 hours. At 03Z, the southern center was located at 28.8N 78.5W - it had been moving to the WNW, but its just about stationary now. No reliable steering currents for this system, except perhaps one. Its not the trough to the north - that trough has missed its chance and is beginning to slowly pull back to the north, however, a weak high pressure aloft off the SW Florida coast may have started to influence the movement of TD-5. Convection is really beginning to build to the south of even the southern center and the Depression could begin to drift to the southeast or even south (some of you detected this apparent retrogression eastward earlier this evening). This system might hang around for awhile - which unfortunately would give it more time to organize and intensify. Its structure seems to indicate that its already at minimum tropical storm strength.

Short note on TS Dolly: An upper level low near 25N 59W is moving northeastward and should capture Dolly shortly and move it off to the north.
Cheers,
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern - Invest 94L / TD 5 Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Sep 02 2002 03:20 AM
. * * Re: Invest 94L - Update Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 31 2002 11:38 PM
. * * Movements Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 02 2002 03:20 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Invest 94L Kevin   Sat Aug 31 2002 02:53 PM

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