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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Bev
Weather Guru

Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL and Abaco, ...

Meteorology vs. Psychology
Fri Sep 10 2004 08:07 PM

I'm certainly not a meteorologist but I know a fair bit about psychology. I've been wondering to myself if the Westward shift of the track had more to do with psychology than meteorology.

The NHC was blasted by some of the public for "Not Warning Us!" While the accusation was completely unfair, they had certainly stated time and again that there was an error of margin, stay on your toes, the storm could go anywhere in this range.

Nevertheless, the little dart showing the eye stayed right on Anna Maria Island for a very long time and people North and South watched the dart and became complacent.

I would not be surprised to see this track kept just off the coast until shortly before landfall. It keeps everyone on their toes instead of just a few of us.

I'm not saying it will or it won't hit in Tampa, I don't think anyone can say that until about an hour before it lands. But by keeping the dart from getting stuck in one point, the NHC keeps all the Gulf Coast and Panhandle on their toes. As it should!

Just my thoughts...
-Bev

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	MikeC	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:07 PM
Ivan core may miss Jamaica	berrywr	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:39 PM
Maps	SkeetoBite	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:20 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	ShanaTX	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:00 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:03 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	MO stormspotter	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:57 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	TLHJeff	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:32 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	SoonerShawn	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:36 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:02 PM
ivan/little else	HanKFranK	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:17 PM
Re: ivan/little else	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:22 PM
Re: ivan/little else	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:13 PM
Re: ivan/little else	sullynole	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:22 PM
Steve Jerve & VIPIR Model	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:41 PM
Re: Steve Jerve & VIPIR Model	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:48 PM
Re: ivan/little else	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:25 PM
Re: ivan/little else	sullynole	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:56 PM
Re: ivan/little else	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:05 PM
Re: ivan/little else	ThirdRay	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:49 PM
Re: ivan/little else	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:54 PM
Re: ivan/little else	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:59 PM
Just an FYI	wxman007	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:11 PM
Re: Just an FYI	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:15 PM
Re: ivan/little else	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:59 PM
pressure drop	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:52 PM
Re: pressure drop	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:53 PM
Re: pressure drop	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:53 PM
Re: ivan/little else	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:51 PM
Re: ivan/little else	meto	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:15 PM
Re: ivan/little else	HCW	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:41 PM
Forecast tracks/Model Tracks...	wxman007	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:48 PM
Re: ivan/little else	meto	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:45 PM
Re: ivan/little else	BillD	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:11 PM
Re: ivan/little else	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:44 PM
Re: ivan/little else	Heather	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:49 PM
Re: ivan/little else	DroopGB31	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:57 PM
Meteorology vs. Psychology	Bev	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:07 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	BillD	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:14 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	Rasvar	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:27 PM
Tom Terry	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:17 PM
Re: Tom Terry	kelcot	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:19 PM
Re: Tom Terry	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:33 PM
Re: Tom Terry	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:38 PM
Re: Tom Terry	Jeffmidtown	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:49 PM
Re: Tom Terry	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:57 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:19 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:24 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:30 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:36 PM
Question	SoonerShawn	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:41 PM
Re: Question	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:45 PM
Re: Question	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:51 PM
Didn't see this till now...	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:59 PM
Re: Didn't see this till now...	Keith234	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:01 PM
Re: Didn't see this till now...	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:09 PM
Re: Didn't see this till now...	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:17 PM
Re: Didn't see this till now...	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:31 PM
Orlando getting hurricane winds?	Hurricaned	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:34 PM
Re: Didn't see this till now...	meto	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:25 PM
JB	Jamiewx	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:16 PM
Re: JB	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:18 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	Felix	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:29 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	LindaG	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:33 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	Felix	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:34 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	DroopGB31	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:47 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:05 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:30 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:41 PM
11:00 Discussion	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:47 PM
Re: 11:00 Discussion	HMY	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:51 PM
Probabilities will go up along the entire Fl coast over time	Frank P	Fri Sep 10 2004 11:03 PM
Re: 11:00 Discussion	Rasvar	Fri Sep 10 2004 11:02 PM
Re: 11:00 Discussion	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 11:03 PM
Use The New Thread Please	Ed Dunham	Fri Sep 10 2004 11:12 PM
NEW THREAD	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:53 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	meto	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:58 PM
Re: Punta Gorda evacuations	meto	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:04 PM
Trough	SoonerShawn	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:10 PM
devastation	Rasvar	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:55 PM
Re: devastation	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:04 PM
Re: devastation	Frank P	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:30 PM
Re: devastation	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:44 PM
Re: devastation	tazmanian93	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:02 PM
Re: Ivan Update	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:07 PM
Re: Ivan Update	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:10 PM
Re: Ivan Update	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:09 PM
Re: devastation	h2ocean	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
Re: devastation	BillD	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:15 PM
Re: devastation	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:26 PM
Re: devastation	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:19 PM
Re: devastation	rd522525	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:26 PM
Re: devastation	kelcot	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:28 PM
Re: devastation	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:27 PM
Re: devastation	52255225	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:33 PM
Re: devastation	kelcot	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:30 PM
Re: devastation	TinaLee	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:32 PM
Re: devastation	h2ocean	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:23 PM
Re: devastation	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:33 PM
Re: devastation	troy	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:27 PM
Re: devastation	richiesurfs	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:42 PM
Re: Tom Terry	TinaLee	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:29 PM
Re: devastation	h2ocean	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
Re: Question	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:52 PM
Re: Question	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:56 PM
Re: Question	DroopGB31	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:04 PM
Looters and other pleasant folk	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:11 PM
Re: Looters and other pleasant folk	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:16 PM
Re: Looters and other pleasant folk	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 10:15 PM
Re: Recon	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
Re: devastation	kelcot	Fri Sep 10 2004 09:50 PM
Re: Question	HCW	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:44 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	Wxwatcher2	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:32 PM
Hang on Jamaica	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:49 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	DroopGB31	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:46 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:50 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	StormHound	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
Last GFS 18 UTC	RBL	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:38 PM
Re: Last GFS 18 UTC	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
Re: And now back to Ivan	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:37 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:32 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:28 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	danielw	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:12 PM
Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology	Heather	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:10 PM
Re: ivan/little else	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 08:02 PM
Site Problems/WV Loops	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:49 PM
Stronger Ivan	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 07:55 PM
Re: ivan/little else	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:46 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:55 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	AgentB	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:04 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	G8R	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:01 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	meto	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:39 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	Frank P	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:46 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:05 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	Terra	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:11 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	GaryC	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:03 PM
Hail?	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:06 PM
Re: Hail?	wxman007	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:13 PM
Re: Hail?	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:16 PM
Re: Hail?	wxman007	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:22 PM
Kingston Call	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:18 PM
Re: Hail?	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:08 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:24 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	wxman007	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:40 PM
Models Changes	Timothy	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:48 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:45 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:27 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	ShanaTX	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:53 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	wxman007	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:55 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:57 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	meto	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:07 PM
back on track	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:26 PM
Meto	SoonerShawn	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:22 PM
Re: Meto	tenavilla	Fri Sep 10 2004 06:27 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:30 PM
Re: Hail? & ? for Jason	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:34 PM
Ivan	SoonerShawn	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:14 PM
Re: Ivan	MrSpock	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:23 PM
By the way...	SoonerShawn	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:17 PM
Re: Hail?	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:10 PM
Re: Hail?	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:13 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	G8R	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:03 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	rule	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:07 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	ShaggyDude	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:18 PM
THANK YOU ALL	belleami	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:54 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	Cane Watcher	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:48 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	alley	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:50 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	Cane Watcher	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:53 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	Mozart	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:59 PM
E-mail advisories...	wxman007	Fri Sep 10 2004 05:05 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica	LI Phil	Fri Sep 10 2004 04:47 PM

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