Let me just say that any local meteorolgists on any of the stations I watch in my area..i.e Tom Terry, Tom Sorrells, has more knowledge in their pinky finger than I have all together and I understand that totally. That being said I don't believe any of them should be forecasting anything that undermines what the NHC puts out. My feeling is that the NHC has more expertise and tools at their disposal than any of these guys have. They are excellent forecasters in their own right but they still are not as good as the NHC. To say they don't agree wiith the NHC's forecast just makes an already confusing situation even more confusing..especially with people already being on edge enough. They can't stick their head in the sand but they really need to stick with the NHC regardless of what they might "feel" about the track of a given storm. My prayers are totally with Jamaica right now!
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