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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
ROTF
      Mon Sep 02 2002 03:38 PM

GFDL! Are you kidding me?

Mother Nature vs. the I-10?

The "Ultimate Storm"?

Widespread destruction from Lake City to Morgan City?

This is a complete doomsday scenario. Many prophecy fanatics have targeted this Sepetember as the beginning of Armaggedon. I'm not convinced as there have been no real steps toward any peace treaties in Jeruselem. However, if I see a storm that attacks the enitre Gulf Coast, uh, maybe I need to rethink something or other.

I agree that Ed is basically stationary. It appears to show erratic movement in the same general area. I clicked on one of the radar links in this thread which actually showed perhaps a wobble to the SE over the span of that radar loop.

I don't see it crossing FL, but GFDL wasn't the only model seeing a high surpressing the convection SW. CMC was doing it the other day as was the AVN.

All in all, it still looks like a fish spinner or perhaps has designs on a liimited brush/landfall somewhere between GA and NC. Problem is the strong trof expected to be near the SE Coast in 48 hours. Ed's position in relation to whatever happens with the trof should be the key to his eventual attack or demise.

As to the Gulf, things are still coming together. I still can't determine if there will be any classified activity by mid-week. The ingredients are in the pot, but the stove is still off. The only hints are the convection and the .07-.15 pressure falls over the last 48 hours. And that was as of the 'wee hours' today. I haven't checked buoys today (NDBC was down when I tried) since I woke back up to see if the trend continues.

I guess I need to get off the "news" and head to the Forum to see what Ed's got to say.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona CFHCAdministrator Mon Sep 02 2002 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Anonymous   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:12 PM
. * * Bastardi even sounds uncertain. Kevin   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:22 PM
. * * Tony,Tony,Tony ShawnS   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Tony,Tony,Tony Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Tony,Tony,Tony Tony   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Tony,Tony,Tony Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Anonymous   Mon Sep 02 2002 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Colleen A.   Mon Sep 02 2002 12:51 AM
. * * td 5/next systems Anonymous (HF)   Mon Sep 02 2002 01:14 AM
. * * Edouard Develops!!!!!!! Jason M   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:12 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Frank P   Mon Sep 02 2002 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Anonymous   Mon Sep 02 2002 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona k___g   Mon Sep 02 2002 01:06 AM
. * * GOM....Could there be? ShawnS   Mon Sep 02 2002 12:45 AM
. * * Re: GOM....Could there be? Jason M   Mon Sep 02 2002 12:49 AM
. * * Re: GOM....Could there be? Anonymous   Mon Sep 02 2002 11:29 AM
. * * E storm Anonymous   Mon Sep 02 2002 11:34 AM
. * * Re: E storm Cycloneye   Mon Sep 02 2002 12:01 PM
. * * Re: E storm Frank P   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:10 PM
. * * TWC and Local News GaryC   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:42 PM
. * * Re: E storm Frank P   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:26 PM
. * * Re: E storm from fernandina   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Chad   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona garyb   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Mary K.   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:12 PM
. * * Gulf beginning to brew? Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:15 PM
. * * Re: pressure drop troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Gulf beginning to brew? troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Gulf beginning to brew? Anonymous   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:39 PM
. * * New GDFL Alan   Mon Sep 02 2002 07:51 PM
. * * Re: New GDFL Mary K.   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:05 PM
. * * Re: New GDFL Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:33 PM
. * * Re: New GDFL Joe   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:42 PM
. * * Edouard's movement and what it may mean for future intensity. Kevin   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:52 PM
. * * NWS Melbourne discussion Kevin   Mon Sep 02 2002 08:56 PM
. * * Hey Shawn, Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Hey Shawn, Anonymous   Mon Sep 02 2002 09:42 PM
. * * Barry... Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Gulf beginning to brew? troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Gulf beginning to brew? troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:19 PM
. * * Hey Shawn Frank P   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Hey Shawn StormHound   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Hey Shawn Joe   Mon Sep 02 2002 07:26 PM
. * * Hey k_______g Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona k___g   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona from fernadina   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona 57497479   Mon Sep 02 2002 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Bruce   Mon Sep 02 2002 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona 57497479   Mon Sep 02 2002 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Joe   Mon Sep 02 2002 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Bruce   Mon Sep 02 2002 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Bruce   Mon Sep 02 2002 07:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Tony   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Mary K.   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Tony   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Tony   Mon Sep 02 2002 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona ShawnS   Mon Sep 02 2002 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona troy2   Mon Sep 02 2002 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona garyb   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Frank P   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Frank P   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:51 PM
. * * ROTF Steve   Mon Sep 02 2002 03:38 PM
. * * This is NUTS!!! Kevin   Mon Sep 02 2002 03:27 PM
. * * Re: This is NUTS!!! 57497479   Mon Sep 02 2002 03:38 PM
. * * Dial "911"!!! I think I've got it!!! Dana   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Tony   Mon Sep 02 2002 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Anonymous   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona 57497479   Sun Sep 01 2002 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Colleen A.   Mon Sep 02 2002 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Steve   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Anonymous   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona troy2   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Kevin   Sun Sep 01 2002 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona 57497479   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona 57497479   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:26 PM
. * * TD #5 WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:38 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:42 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:47 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 57497479   Sun Sep 01 2002 09:16 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 09:59 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Rich B   Sun Sep 01 2002 09:53 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 BabyCat   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:03 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Bruce   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:41 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 squirralee   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:16 PM
. * * td 5 Anonymous (HF)   Sun Sep 01 2002 10:48 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Bruce   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:45 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:48 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 09:04 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Bruce   Sun Sep 01 2002 09:03 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 09:06 PM
. * * Re: TD #5 Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Colleen A.   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona Ricreig   Sun Sep 01 2002 08:23 PM

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