They haven't changed the intensity forecast at all, just the landfall. Oh well, we're still outside the 3 day forecast, and statistically, 4 and 5 day forecasts can have an error of +150 miles. I'm reserving judgment until it gets past Cuba. From what I'm hearing, neither the trough nor the ridge are coming in as far as they thought, steering currents are weak in the GOM, so Ivan could do whatever he wants when he gets past Cuba.
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