While the Atlantic trough continues to sag (nearly to Yucatan!) the flip side is there's not much left of it East of Florida! I guess the path of least resistance is towards the West, but I'm getting concerned about when it turns North. I guess a huge loop back to Florida from the central GOM would be dumb, but still...
That SE trough is really reinforced at the moment. I'm still not sure how Ivan is going to interact with that.
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