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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 274 (Idalia) , Major: 274 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 274 (Idalia) Major: 274 (Idalia)
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tenavilla
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 95
Loc: Tampa Area
Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five
      Sat Sep 11 2004 11:08 PM

Posted on the last thread, reposted here.

On several of the tv stations here they were saying that the forecasts were all based on the assumption that Ivan would beat the trough (jet stream?) currently moving down to the northwestern Gulf. More to the point, they said it was a race with respect to what arrived in the GOM first, the trough or Ivan. If the trough gets here first, the forecast shifts back to the right, if not, it stays where it is. Any thoughts on what is "winning"? I'm a little concerned that Ivan doesn't seem to be in any hurry at the moment. I don't like it when I hear things like it's a race, and steering currents are weak once past Cuba. That usually doesn't bode well for last minute preparations (still remembering Charley's quick turn at the last minute). Don't get me wrong, we have all our supplies, etc, but...would rather not have a last minute panic if it heads our way.

Edited by tenavilla (Sat Sep 11 2004 11:10 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 11 2004 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five captgene   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:27 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five SirCane   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five robynsmom   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:59 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five RevUp   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:28 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:37 AM
. * * Back up again LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Back up again Storm Cooper   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five ShaggyDude   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five richiesurfs   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:15 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five Keith234   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five BillD   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five BabyCat   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:25 PM
. * * Is it me JackF   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Is it me Ronn   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:55 PM
. * * So, what do you think? FireAng85   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Is it me 52255225   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:56 PM
. * * Ivan is Moving SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Ivan is Moving BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Ivan is Moving Keith234   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Ivan is Moving tenavilla   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Ivan is Moving Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Ivan is Moving 52255225   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five BabyCat   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:35 PM
. * * warm water, landfall MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:02 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:11 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall javlin   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:10 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Storm Cooper   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:29 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall javlin   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:16 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:17 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall javlin   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:24 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:32 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:42 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:47 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:48 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:53 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:50 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:10 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:24 AM
. * * Rasvar SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:36 AM
. * * NHC SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:44 AM
. * * Re: NHC rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:56 AM
. * * Re: NHC Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:59 AM
. * * Re: NHC Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:02 AM
. * * Re: NHC Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:07 AM
. * * Re: NHC jamserve   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:12 AM
. * * Re: NHC Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:48 AM
. * * Rasvar SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:58 AM
. * * Re: NHC GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:54 AM
. * * My last post SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Rasvar Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:41 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:31 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:30 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall breeezy   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:43 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Westward?? danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:37 AM
. * * Re: 11pm discussion Yuk danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:34 AM
. * * Re: 11pm discussion Yuk GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:38 AM
. * * Re: 11pm discussion Yuk Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:47 AM
. * * Re: 11pm discussion Yuk BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:28 AM
. * * Re: New Thread danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:29 AM
. * * BillD SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:55 AM
. * * Re: BillD BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:05 AM
. * * Re: BillD rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:12 AM
. * * The bottom line is... SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:18 AM
. * * Re: BillD Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:59 AM
. * * Re: BillD jultime   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:16 AM
. * * NHC 5 Day LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:20 AM
. * * Re: NHC 5 Day MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:23 AM
. * * Re: BillD rd522525   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:03 AM
. * * Re: BillD rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:01 AM
. * * Still West rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:07 AM
. * * Re: Still West tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Still West Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:29 AM
. * * Re: Still West KJJBCr   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Still West tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:23 AM
. * * Re: 11pm discussion Yuk BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:47 AM
. * * Re: 11pm discussion Yuk StormHound   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:45 AM
. * * Re: 11pm discussion Yuk rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:43 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:34 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:43 AM
. * * SHEAR! SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:17 AM
. * * Re: SHEAR! Renee   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:24 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:14 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:32 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:38 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:51 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Renee   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:21 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:29 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:17 AM
. * * Re: Grand Cayman Weather and Recon danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:24 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:44 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:46 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall RevUp   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:41 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:44 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall RevUp   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:49 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:21 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:43 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:43 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:47 AM
. * * Movement SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Movement rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:04 AM
. * * Re: Movement Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:32 AM
. * * record breaker rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:53 AM
. * * Re: record breaker BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:03 AM
. * * Re: record breaker tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:01 AM
. * * Re: record breaker waatcher   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:04 AM
. * * Re: record breaker RevUp   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:12 AM
. * * Re: record breaker LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:18 AM
. * * Re: record breaker RevUp   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:28 AM
. * * Re: record breaker MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:11 AM
. * * Re: record breaker Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:56 AM
. * * Re: record breaker MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:01 AM
. * * Re: record breaker Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:02 AM
. * * Re: record breaker MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:09 AM
. * * Re: record breaker GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:16 AM
. * * Re: record breaker tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:10 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:08 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:15 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:18 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:10 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:10 AM
. * * Re: warm water, landfall BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five Keith234   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:24 PM
. * * What? Western Gulf? SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five tenavilla   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five Second Shift   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five RevUp   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five Second Shift   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five belleami   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five mud1967   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five RevUp   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five mud1967   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five MParker   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five Keith234   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five tenavilla   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:17 PM
. * * Canadian Club for Steve? LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Canadian Club for Steve? captgene   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Agian Category Five SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:01 PM

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