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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1299

Shawn/Caneman
Thu May 23 2002 03:01 PM

Looking at the latest vis loop I agree with Shawn and Caneman. However, the last few loops indicate that the shear north and west of the system maybe relaxing somewhat. Add to the fact that low pressure systems sometimes develop on the tail end of a frontal system, as what could be happening in the case with this distrubance. And if the disturbed area remains persistant (sometimes it takes days), development is possible if all the other conditions are favorable, even in May... That being said, frontal systems especially this time of the year can start backing up towards the north as a warm front... this could be the only trigger that gets the system moving towards the north IMO....

Several models (AVN and CMC) as Steve posted earlier indicate some type of significant low pressure system off the coast of SC/NC in about 120 hours

Models geesh.... sometimes I think models are basically useless unless they come with legs... hehe

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
2 Weeks	CFHC	Thu May 23 2002 03:01 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	BabyCat	Thu May 23 2002 04:18 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Colleen A.	Thu May 23 2002 05:02 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	BabyCat	Thu May 23 2002 06:32 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 05:13 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 07:42 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	CaneMan	Thu May 23 2002 07:44 PM
NRL Link	Colleen A.	Thu May 23 2002 07:59 PM
Re: NRL Link	Colleen A.	Thu May 23 2002 08:06 PM
Re: NRL Link	CaneMan	Thu May 23 2002 08:07 PM
Re: NRL Link	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 08:04 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 07:42 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 06:54 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 06:57 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	scottsvb	Thu May 23 2002 07:15 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Mark	Wed May 22 2002 08:53 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 09:13 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Wed May 22 2002 09:19 PM
Re: 2 Weeks DELETED	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 10:06 PM
Re: 2 Weeks DELETED	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 11:19 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 10:11 PM
Hard Wind	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 12:03 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Joe	Tue May 21 2002 07:42 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 06:02 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	CaneMan	Tue May 21 2002 05:59 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 08:05 PM
Interesting Cuba convection.	Kevin	Tue May 21 2002 09:14 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Tue May 21 2002 08:03 PM
The Link to NOAA	Cocoa Beach Dave	Tue May 21 2002 01:27 PM
NOAA Press Release	Cocoa Beach Dave	Tue May 21 2002 01:25 PM
a bit more	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 06:03 AM
Re: a bit more	ShawnS	Tue May 21 2002 12:28 PM
Re: a bit more	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 03:26 PM
Re: a bit more	nickd	Tue May 21 2002 03:32 PM
Re: a bit more	Franky P	Tue May 21 2002 05:25 PM
Re: a bit more	jth	Tue May 21 2002 06:22 PM
Re: a bit more	Frank P	Tue May 21 2002 05:33 PM
Re: a bit more	ShawnS	Tue May 21 2002 03:47 PM
Question	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 03:57 PM
Re: Question	John C	Tue May 21 2002 10:20 PM
Re: Question	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 10:38 PM
Re: Question	John C	Tue May 21 2002 11:53 PM
Re: Question	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 12:09 AM
Colleen...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 02:00 AM
Just for fun...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 02:03 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 12:08 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 12:57 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 02:15 AM
Re: Just for fun...	CaneMan	Thu May 23 2002 02:31 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 02:48 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 02:55 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 03:30 AM
east option	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 05:37 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 02:58 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 02:59 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Caneman	Thu May 23 2002 02:57 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 02:52 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 02:28 AM
Re: MODELS	HURRICANELONNY	Thu May 23 2002 12:18 PM
Hey Rad!	Frank P	Thu May 23 2002 01:53 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	Rad	Fri May 24 2002 12:17 AM
Re: Hey Rad!	Rad	Fri May 24 2002 12:23 AM
Re: Hey Rad!	Rad	Fri May 24 2002 02:47 AM
Re: Hey Rad!	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 01:58 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	CaneMAn	Thu May 23 2002 02:03 PM
Shawn/Caneman	Frank P	Thu May 23 2002 03:01 PM
Re: Shawn/Caneman	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 03:09 PM
Re: Shawn/Caneman	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 03:20 PM
Re: Shawn/Caneman	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 03:27 PM
Re: Joe B.	Rasvar	Thu May 23 2002 03:35 PM
Re: Joe B.	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 03:49 PM
some clarity	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 04:14 PM
Re: some clarity	RBL	Thu May 23 2002 04:19 PM
Re: Joe B.	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 04:01 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 02:37 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	GaryC	Thu May 23 2002 02:34 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 12:53 AM
NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart	garyb	Wed May 22 2002 07:55 PM
Re: NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart	cyclone jones	Wed May 22 2002 11:25 PM
Re: NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 11:40 PM
Here I go again	garyb	Wed May 22 2002 02:23 PM
Something intersting:	Kevin	Wed May 22 2002 07:23 PM
Re: Just for fun... DELETED DELETED DELETED	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 03:03 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 03:28 AM
I voted no...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 04:07 AM
Re: I voted no...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 04:10 AM
Re: I voted no...	Colleen A.	Wed May 22 2002 01:21 PM
Re: I voted no...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 10:05 PM
I voted for BUSH !	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 04:18 AM
possibles	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 05:26 AM
Re: a bit more	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 03:47 PM
Re: a bit more	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 09:14 PM
Re: a bit more	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 10:41 PM
Re: a bit more	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 11:04 PM
Re: a bit more	gary	Tue May 21 2002 07:45 PM
Thanks, All!	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 08:05 PM
Re: Thanks, All!	Gary	Tue May 21 2002 08:41 PM
Your Password	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 09:12 PM
Jason Kelly	Frank P	Tue May 21 2002 08:51 PM
mongertime	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 05:23 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Mon May 20 2002 09:31 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Mon May 20 2002 11:20 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Rad	Mon May 20 2002 11:31 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	HURRICANELONNY	Mon May 20 2002 07:44 PM
Noaa 2002 Hurricane Forecast thoughts.	Kevin	Tue May 21 2002 12:40 AM
Re: Noaa 2002 Hurricane Forecast thoughts.	ShawnS	Tue May 21 2002 12:54 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Mon May 20 2002 03:54 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	Doug Tampa	Mon May 20 2002 04:18 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Mon May 20 2002 04:58 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Mon May 20 2002 06:13 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Sun May 19 2002 11:25 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Kevin	Mon May 20 2002 12:25 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Mon May 20 2002 12:01 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	Kevin	Sun May 19 2002 02:51 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Sun May 19 2002 06:14 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Kevin	Sun May 19 2002 06:20 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Rad	Sun May 19 2002 02:32 PM

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