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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

SoonerShawn
Unregistered

Models and Troughs
Sun Sep 12 2004 09:58 AM

I may have said this before but models ALWAYS have a bias when it comes to troughs( or "trofs"). Every model just about will have the trough effecting the storm in almost every case. The problem is that it doesn't happen that way every time. That is why you have to take the models with a grain of salt right now.How long have the models been dictating a NW movement when it has been moving WNW at most. Don't be fooled into automatically thinking that just because these models want to have these troughs have an effect on Ivan that it will happen. Remember, Ivan didn't pay attention to the first trough and he just might not pay attention to any of the rest. Until he actually makes a DEFINITE turn towards the north, definite meaning not just wobbles, than it is just here-say right now.

ShawnS

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	MikeC	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:58 AM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	Mooshie-SC	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:27 AM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	ShanaTX	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:30 AM
Re:Poor initialization	javlin	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:41 AM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	Mooshie-SC	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:41 AM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:39 AM
Newest advisory out	ShanaTX	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:05 AM
New recon fix	Clark	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:10 AM
Re: New recon fix	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:21 AM
Re: New recon fix	mikeG	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:23 AM
Re: New recon fix	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:26 AM
Re: New recon fix	ShanaTX	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:13 AM
Re: New recon fix	danielw	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:27 AM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	Lisa NC	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:32 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	rule	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:43 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	DroopGB31	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:14 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:09 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	kelcot	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:17 PM
Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	Terra	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:29 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	rule	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	danielw	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:40 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	MrSpock	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:44 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	Terra	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:38 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	Rasvar	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:32 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	GuppieGrouper	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:39 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	recmod	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	kelcot	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:42 PM
HEY JASON!!!!!!!!!!	FlaRebel	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:44 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	tenavilla	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:34 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	Rasvar	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:40 PM
Re: Recon	danielw	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:48 PM
Re: Recon	MrSpock	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:54 PM
Re: Recon	tenavilla	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:59 PM
Re: Recon	HCW	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
Re: Recon	tenavilla	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:04 AM
Re: Recon	BillD	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:09 AM
Re: Recon	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:15 AM
current strength?	rule	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:06 AM
New Recon Decoder Version	Londovir	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:21 AM
Re: New Recon Decoder Version	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:42 AM
Re: New Recon Decoder Version	Londovir	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:06 AM
Re: New Recon Decoder Version	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:20 AM
All Clear?	Tim in NO	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:28 AM
Re: All Clear?	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:34 AM
NW Jog	Tim in NO	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:39 AM
Re: NW Jog	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:53 AM
Re: New Recon Decoder Version	danielw	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:18 AM
Re: New Recon Decoder Version	MikeC	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:27 AM
Re: Recon	BillD	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:13 AM
Re: Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours	HCW	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:14 AM
Re: Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:25 AM
Re: Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours	Rasvar	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:20 AM
Re: Recon	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:00 AM
Re: Recon	Rasvar	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:55 PM
Re: New models	danielw	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:58 PM
Re: New models	KJJBCr	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
Re: New models	kelcot	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:59 PM
Re: New models	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:27 AM
Re: New models	Rasvar	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:36 AM
Re: New models	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:00 AM
Re: New models	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:07 AM
Re: New models	meto	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:15 AM
Re: New models	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:18 AM
Re: New models	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:23 AM
Re: New models	meto	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:38 AM
Re: New models	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:42 AM
Re: New models	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:54 AM
Re: New models	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:10 AM
Re: New models	javlin	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:29 AM
Re: New models	danielw	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:37 AM
Re: New models	javlin	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:43 AM
Re: New models	danielw	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:05 AM
Re: Satellites	danielw	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:12 AM
Re: CHECK SATS!	john03	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:10 AM
Re: CHECK SATS!	mikeG	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:11 AM
Re: CHECK SATS!	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:40 AM
Re: CHECK SATS!	danielw	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:41 AM
Re: CHECK SATS!	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 12 2004 06:23 AM
Last two hours=mostly WEST	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 07:50 AM
Westward Ho!	JackF	Sun Sep 12 2004 07:40 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 07:56 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	caneman	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:04 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:20 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:32 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	Terra	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:47 AM
Break in ridge to north?	Ormond Suzie	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:20 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	SAM33	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:38 AM
Re: Shear!	Fred08	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:43 AM
Re: Shear!	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:50 AM
Re: Shear!	tenavilla	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:59 AM
Re: Shear!	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:05 AM
Re: Shear!	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:01 AM
Re: Shear!	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:00 AM
Re: Shear!	tenavilla	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:02 AM
Re: Shear!	tenavilla	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:05 AM
Re: Shear!	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:04 AM
Re: Shear!	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:58 AM
Re: Shear!	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:03 AM
Re: Shear!	Jeffmidtown	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:14 AM
Re: Shear!	Kal	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:21 AM
Re: Shear!	Orlando	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:04 AM
Re: Shear!	Rabbit	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:07 AM
Re: Shear!	teal61	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:40 AM
Re: Shear!	BillD	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:45 AM
Re: Shear!	Fred08	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:16 AM
EYE vis.	MikeG	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:29 AM
Re: EYE vis.	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:47 AM
Re: EYE vis.	KC	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:51 AM
Re: EYE vis.	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:40 AM
Re: Shear!	Jeffmidtown	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:24 AM
Re: Shear!	nick8	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:33 AM
Re: Shear!	rd522525	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:46 AM
Re: Shear!	mud1967	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:09 AM
New Orleans NWS	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:13 AM
Re: New Orleans NWS	willy	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 PM
Westward trend continues	Wxwatcher2	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:05 AM
Models and Troughs	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:58 AM
Re: Models and Troughs	rd522525	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:03 AM
Re: Models and Troughs	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:05 AM
Re: Shear!	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:38 AM
Re: Shear!	BillD	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:45 AM
Re: Shear!	CentralFlorida	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:18 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 08:37 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	jlauderdal	Sun Sep 12 2004 07:47 AM
Re: Westward Ho!	robynsmom	Sun Sep 12 2004 09:16 AM
Re: CHECK SATS!	James88	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:33 AM
Re: CHECK SATS!	Domino	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:57 AM
Re: New models	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:07 AM
Re: New models	MikeC	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:04 AM
Re: New models	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:09 AM
Re: New models	BabyCat	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:09 AM
Re: New models	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:41 AM
Re: New models	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:25 AM
Sat Loops	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:30 AM
Re: New models	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:29 AM
Re: New models	OZ IN FL	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:22 AM
Re: New models	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:18 AM
Re: New models	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:19 AM
Re: New models	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:26 AM
Re: New models	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:29 AM
Re: New models	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:30 AM
Re: New models	MikeC	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:01 AM
Re: Tampa Area	kempshark	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:47 AM
Re: Tampa Area	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:55 AM
recon	BabyCat	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:58 AM
Re: recon	danielw	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:03 AM
Re: New models	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:41 AM
Re: New models	Tazmanian93	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 AM
WOBBLE!	SoonerShawn	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:46 PM
Re: WOBBLE!	Frank P	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:57 PM
Re: WOBBLE!	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
Boat on a bay....	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:20 AM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	LI Phil	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:45 PM
Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not....	Rasvar	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:52 PM
Excellent post .. very honest well written words	LoisCane	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:27 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	LI Phil	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:25 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	DroopGB31	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:39 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	rule	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:49 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	rule	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:28 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	sullynole	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	danielw	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:32 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	Jeffmidtown	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:31 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	MrSpock	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:33 PM
Forecasts and models	BeachBum	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:08 AM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	LI Phil	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	tenavilla	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:28 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	DroopGB31	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:25 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	kelcot	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:29 PM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman	52255225	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:16 PM
Whew...	rule	Sat Sep 11 2004 11:24 PM

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