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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MrSpock
Storm Tracker

Reged:
Posts: 296

Re: By the way...
Sun Sep 12 2004 12:22 PM

The sat pics show well the trough that is EXPECTED to cause the shift in track, but since there is little data in storms of this magnitude and size, forecasting those turns becomes much more difficult, a la Gilbert. That trough is the one that has received a lot of mention from the various forecasters and those of us on this board. I wish I could nail it down, but don't feel confident trying to. I'll leave that to the NHC and the mets on here. The key is, if this is to turn, the reason is on that pic, and the other sat pics don't show that nearly as well as does the water vapor loop.
It would be nice if wherever this hits, there could be a strong consensus soon, so that anyone in the path can have the proper time to prepare. I think that is one of the more frustrating things.

Edited by MrSpock (Sun Sep 12 2004 12:24 PM)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	MikeC	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:22 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Elaine H	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:55 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:56 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:57 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Sam33	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:03 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Storm Cooper	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:01 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Redbird	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:34 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:04 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Mparker	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:07 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:29 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	k___g	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:38 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	gumby/pensacola	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:58 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Wxwatcher2	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:06 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:14 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	anonymous	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:09 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:13 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:17 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:26 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Seele	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:29 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Storm Cooper	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:31 PM
Recon Frequency Question	recmod	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:25 PM
Quote from KSC chief Met on GOM storms....	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:30 PM
Re: Quote from KSC chief Met on GOM storms....	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:35 PM
Cayman Island Reports	WXMAN RICHIE	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:46 PM
Ivan	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:43 PM
Re: Ivan	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:47 PM
Re: Ivan	waatcher	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:45 PM
Re: Ivan	CentralFlorida	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:49 PM
Question	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:59 PM
Re: Question	52255225	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:06 PM
Re: Question	ShaggyDude	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:00 PM
Re: Question	Wxwatcher2	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:04 PM
Re: Question	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:03 PM
Re: Ivan	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:56 PM
I'm back...at least for a bit....	wxman007	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:04 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:09 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	dolphinscry	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:30 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	sullynole	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:16 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	wxman007	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:15 PM
12Z Euro shift west .... LA/MS line	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:25 PM
Re: 12Z Euro shift west .... LA/MS line	HMY	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:27 PM
Jason	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:17 PM
Jason	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:22 PM
Re: Jason	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:23 PM
Re: Jason	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:19 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	tikibar	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:17 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:17 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	wxman007	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:19 PM
Interesting analysis in Birmingham AFD this afternoon	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:40 PM
Re: Interesting analysis in Birmingham AFD this afternoon	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:45 PM
Re: Interesting analysis in Birmingham AFD this afternoon	tikibar	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:55 PM
Trofs	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:59 PM
Is Ivan Stalling???	recmod	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:02 PM
Re: Interesting analysis in Birmingham AFD this afternoon	SC Bill	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:59 PM
Re: Interesting analysis in Birmingham AFD this afternoon	tikibar	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:09 PM
question from the peanut gallery	clueless	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:17 PM
Re: question from the peanut gallery	HMY	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:23 PM
From the endzone...	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:20 PM
Re: From the endzone... hey phil	LoisCane	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:52 PM
Re: From the endzone...	andy1tom	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:25 PM
Re: From the endzone...	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:31 PM
Re: From the endzone...	andy1tom	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:36 PM
Re: From the endzone...	wxman007	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:44 PM
Re: From the endzone...	SirCane	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:55 PM
Re: From the endzone...	Terra	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:01 PM
Movement	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:09 PM
Re: From the endzone...	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:04 PM
5pm Advisory scoop	Jamiewx	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:45 PM
Re: 5pm Advisory scoop	AdmittedHacker	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:52 PM
Ivan	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:42 PM
Re: Ivan	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:58 PM
Re: Ivan	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:07 PM
NEW THREAD!	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:07 PM
Re: Ivan	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:54 PM
Re: Ivan	BillD	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:48 PM
bill you just never give up do you?	LoisCane	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:54 PM
Re: Ivan	pcb	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:50 PM
Re: Ivan	wxman007	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:03 PM
Re: Ivan	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:06 PM
Re: Ivan	St. David	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:05 PM
Re: Ivan	mijk55	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:09 PM
Re: Ivan	St. David	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:18 PM
Re: Ivan	waatcher	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:40 PM
GUYS, NEW THREAD!	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:42 PM
Re: Ivan	HMY	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:07 PM
Re: From the endzone...	tikibar	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:22 PM
Re: From the endzone...	Terry Johnson	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:35 PM
Re: From the endzone...	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:24 PM
Re: Interesting analysis in Birmingham AFD this afternoon	Wxwatcher2	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:14 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	andy1tom	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:36 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	Tony	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:51 PM
Re: I'm back...at least for a bit....	andy1tom	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:06 PM
From Thomas as of Midday Today	WXMAN RICHIE	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:42 PM
Re: From Thomas as of Midday Today	Sadie	Sun Sep 12 2004 05:08 PM
Re: From Thomas as of Midday Today	52255225	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:50 PM
Re: From Thomas as of Midday Today	doug	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:48 PM
Re: Ivan	Gumby/Pensacola	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:48 PM
Re: Ivan	Gumby/Pensacola	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:54 PM
Re: Ivan	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:52 PM
Re: Ivan	52255225	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:54 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	HMY	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:17 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Colleen A.	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:16 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Cathy	Sun Sep 12 2004 04:35 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	tikibar	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:55 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Gumby/Pensacola	Sun Sep 12 2004 03:00 PM
north turn?	waatcher	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:01 PM
Cayman mashing	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:04 PM
Re: north turn?	waatcher	Sun Sep 12 2004 02:03 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:48 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 06:01 PM
Models	Rabbit	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:48 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	DroopGB31	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:37 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Takingforever	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:34 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:59 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:00 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:02 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Elaine H	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:54 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	boxerhouse	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:56 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	k___g	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:51 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	LadyStorm	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:02 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:00 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	belleami	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:05 AM
Re: The Trof	javlin	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:38 AM
The Turn?	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:47 AM
Re: The Turn?	javlin	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:10 PM
Ivan and Texas	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:19 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:23 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:28 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:30 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	52255225	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:35 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:37 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	mikeG	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	mikeG	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:52 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	mikeG	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:56 PM
Re: Eyewall	ShaggyDude	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:34 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:43 PM
UpDownLeftRight	Turningforever	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:47 PM
URL for models	waatcher	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:46 PM
Re: URL for models	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:49 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:45 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	kelcot	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:51 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	52255225	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:49 PM
Re: Ivan and Texas	k___g	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:27 PM
By the way...	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:50 AM
Re: By the way...	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 PM
Re: By the way...	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:08 PM
Re: By the way...	HMY	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:12 PM
Re: By the way...	rd522525	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:23 PM
Re: By the way...	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:22 PM
Re: By the way...	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:11 PM
Re: By the way...	MrSpock	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:18 PM
Re: The Turn?	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:48 AM
Re: The Turn?	rd522525	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:12 PM
Re: The Turn?	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:22 PM
Re: The Turn?	scottsvb1	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:34 PM
Hope its east of Biloxi, sorry AL coast and FL Panhandle	Frank P	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:47 PM
Re: Hope its east of Biloxi, sorry AL coast and FL Panhandle	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:52 PM
Re: Hope its east of Biloxi, sorry AL coast and FL Panhandle	LI Phil	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:55 PM
From Tampa 12:57 Discussion	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Sun Sep 12 2004 01:55 PM
Scott	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:09 PM
O/T but weather related question	KimB	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:53 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	KC	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:14 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	HMY	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:46 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	jamserve	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:16 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	CentralFlorida	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:27 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Rasvar	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:32 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	BeachBum	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:23 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:29 PM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	LadyStorm	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:22 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Rasvar	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:26 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	zim01	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:30 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	jamserve	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:24 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	k___g	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:26 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	recmod	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:26 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	LadyStorm	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:35 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Wxwatcher2	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:03 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	GuppieGrouper	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:00 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:56 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	andy1tom	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:02 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	rd522525	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:02 AM
ivan heading for the yucatan?	lois/bobbi	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:05 AM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	Sadie	Sun Sep 12 2004 12:44 PM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	recmod	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:23 AM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	LadyStorm	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:33 AM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	andy1tom	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:39 AM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	zim01	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:44 AM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:37 AM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	rd522525	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:08 AM
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan?	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:15 AM
Track	SoonerShawn	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:02 AM
Re: Track	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 11:07 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Keith234	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:51 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	spook	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:50 AM
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South	Seele	Sun Sep 12 2004 10:49 AM

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