Daniel we always here talk of them creating their own environment as Cat 5... maybe that's what Ivan is doing.. he'll go where he wants to...
interesting comment on this subject on the NO AFD this afternoon
ANOTHER CONCERN IS HISTORICAL TRACKS OF CATEGORY 4 AND 5 HURRICANES IN SEPTEMBER IN THE NORTHWEST CARRIBEAN SEA ARE MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS YUCATAN...THEN MAINLAND MEXICO...LIKE GILBERT. LARGER STORMS TEND TO CREATE THEIR OWN ENVIRONMENT AND HAVE LESS INFLUENCE FROM SURROUNDING FEATURES. HOWEVER...AS WE HAVE SEEN THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS...THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS STORMS THAT HAVE GONE AGAINST CLIMATOLOGY...SO THERE WILL BE A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK AND FUTURE STRENGTH OF IVAN. MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO TAKE IVAN A BIT FARTHER WEST WITH EACH MODEL RUN...BUT MOST ARE WELL CLUSTERED NOW AND SUGGESTING A U.S. LANDFALL NEAR PANAMA CITY FL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE BREAK IN THE UPPER RIDGE JUST TO OUR EAST AND THE SOUTHWEST UPPER LEVEL WINDS TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS SHOULD CAUSE IVAN TO TURN NORTH AND POSSIBLY NORTH-NORTHEAST AS HE NEARS THE NORTH GULF COAST. IT IS STRONGLY ADVISED THAT EVERYONE WATCH FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS OF THIS HURRICANE.
0 registered and 393 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 41012
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Another historic tropical week ahead perhaps....
Edit
Reply
Quote
