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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Anonymous
Unregistered

some clarity
Thu May 23 2002 12:14 PM

an invest, huh? with this damned slow computer i'm not going to bother looking up the nrl site, but that doesnt surprise me. look at the caribbean visible, you can see a weak surface low west of jamaica on the western edge of the frontal tail. it is more convective and more interesting-looking than the large frontal low currently NE of the bahamas. it is the caribbean low that is being tracked northward over the next few days and intensified off the carolinas. the models have been picking it up for several days now, and now i can see a surface low in the caribbean, so i'm starting to believe it's a real deal, but it still hasn't quite established itself. there's still plenty of shear and despite being mostly cut away from the westerlies.. it still is around a cold and nontropical upper air mass, so the low has not only to strengthen but also to become more tropical before it gets really interesting. but yes, this is finally becoming worthy of some concern. even as an early season hybrid system it could cause some pretty rough weather on the southeast coast if it comes close enough. right now the mrf at least has it pretty far off the east coast, and the trend has been to shift it east, but if the low develops it will have a fair amount of time over tropical waters and the strength and persistence of the upper trough remains to be told. if it pulls out quickly and the ridge builds in before our low takes the fast train to the north atlantic, we might have a meandering early season rainstorm a'la allison drifting around for memorial day weekend.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
2 Weeks	CFHC	Thu May 23 2002 12:14 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	BabyCat	Thu May 23 2002 12:18 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Colleen A.	Thu May 23 2002 01:02 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	BabyCat	Thu May 23 2002 02:32 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 01:13 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 03:42 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	CaneMan	Thu May 23 2002 03:44 PM
NRL Link	Colleen A.	Thu May 23 2002 03:59 PM
Re: NRL Link	Colleen A.	Thu May 23 2002 04:06 PM
Re: NRL Link	CaneMan	Thu May 23 2002 04:07 PM
Re: NRL Link	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 04:04 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 03:42 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 02:54 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 02:57 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	scottsvb	Thu May 23 2002 03:15 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Mark	Wed May 22 2002 04:53 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 05:13 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Wed May 22 2002 05:19 PM
Re: 2 Weeks DELETED	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 06:06 PM
Re: 2 Weeks DELETED	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 07:19 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 06:11 PM
Hard Wind	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 08:03 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	Joe	Tue May 21 2002 03:42 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 02:02 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	CaneMan	Tue May 21 2002 01:59 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 04:05 PM
Interesting Cuba convection.	Kevin	Tue May 21 2002 05:14 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Tue May 21 2002 04:03 PM
The Link to NOAA	Cocoa Beach Dave	Tue May 21 2002 09:27 AM
NOAA Press Release	Cocoa Beach Dave	Tue May 21 2002 09:25 AM
a bit more	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 02:03 AM
Re: a bit more	ShawnS	Tue May 21 2002 08:28 AM
Re: a bit more	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 11:26 AM
Re: a bit more	nickd	Tue May 21 2002 11:32 AM
Re: a bit more	Franky P	Tue May 21 2002 01:25 PM
Re: a bit more	jth	Tue May 21 2002 02:22 PM
Re: a bit more	Frank P	Tue May 21 2002 01:33 PM
Re: a bit more	ShawnS	Tue May 21 2002 11:47 AM
Question	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 11:57 AM
Re: Question	John C	Tue May 21 2002 06:20 PM
Re: Question	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 06:38 PM
Re: Question	John C	Tue May 21 2002 07:53 PM
Re: Question	Rad	Tue May 21 2002 08:09 PM
Colleen...	Steve	Tue May 21 2002 10:00 PM
Just for fun...	Steve	Tue May 21 2002 10:03 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 08:08 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 08:57 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 10:15 PM
Re: Just for fun...	CaneMan	Wed May 22 2002 10:31 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 10:48 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 10:55 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 11:30 PM
east option	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 01:37 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 10:58 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 10:59 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Caneman	Wed May 22 2002 10:57 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 10:52 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 10:28 PM
Re: MODELS	HURRICANELONNY	Thu May 23 2002 08:18 AM
Hey Rad!	Frank P	Thu May 23 2002 09:53 AM
Re: Hey Rad!	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 08:17 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 08:23 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 10:47 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 09:58 AM
Re: Hey Rad!	CaneMAn	Thu May 23 2002 10:03 AM
Shawn/Caneman	Frank P	Thu May 23 2002 11:01 AM
Re: Shawn/Caneman	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 11:09 AM
Re: Shawn/Caneman	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 11:20 AM
Re: Shawn/Caneman	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 11:27 AM
Re: Joe B.	Rasvar	Thu May 23 2002 11:35 AM
Re: Joe B.	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 11:49 AM
some clarity	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 12:14 PM
Re: some clarity	RBL	Thu May 23 2002 12:19 PM
Re: Joe B.	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 12:01 PM
Re: Hey Rad!	ShawnS	Thu May 23 2002 10:37 AM
Re: Hey Rad!	GaryC	Thu May 23 2002 10:34 AM
Re: Just for fun...	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 08:53 PM
NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart	garyb	Wed May 22 2002 03:55 PM
Re: NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart	cyclone jones	Wed May 22 2002 07:25 PM
Re: NCEP 2:36 pm 5/22/02 inpart	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 07:40 PM
Here I go again	garyb	Wed May 22 2002 10:23 AM
Something intersting:	Kevin	Wed May 22 2002 03:23 PM
Re: Just for fun... DELETED DELETED DELETED	Rad	Tue May 21 2002 11:03 PM
Re: Just for fun...	Rad	Tue May 21 2002 11:28 PM
I voted no...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 12:07 AM
Re: I voted no...	Steve	Wed May 22 2002 12:10 AM
Re: I voted no...	Colleen A.	Wed May 22 2002 09:21 AM
Re: I voted no...	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 06:05 PM
I voted for BUSH !	Rad	Wed May 22 2002 12:18 AM
possibles	Anonymous	Wed May 22 2002 01:26 AM
Re: a bit more	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 11:47 AM
Re: a bit more	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 05:14 PM
Re: a bit more	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 06:41 PM
Re: a bit more	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 07:04 PM
Re: a bit more	gary	Tue May 21 2002 03:45 PM
Thanks, All!	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 04:05 PM
Re: Thanks, All!	Gary	Tue May 21 2002 04:41 PM
Your Password	Colleen A.	Tue May 21 2002 05:12 PM
Jason Kelly	Frank P	Tue May 21 2002 04:51 PM
mongertime	Anonymous	Tue May 21 2002 01:23 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Mon May 20 2002 05:31 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Mon May 20 2002 07:20 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Rad	Mon May 20 2002 07:31 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	HURRICANELONNY	Mon May 20 2002 03:44 PM
Noaa 2002 Hurricane Forecast thoughts.	Kevin	Mon May 20 2002 08:40 PM
Re: Noaa 2002 Hurricane Forecast thoughts.	ShawnS	Mon May 20 2002 08:54 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Sun May 19 2002 11:54 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Doug Tampa	Mon May 20 2002 12:18 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Mon May 20 2002 12:58 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Mon May 20 2002 02:13 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Sun May 19 2002 07:25 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Kevin	Sun May 19 2002 08:25 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	ShawnS	Sun May 19 2002 08:01 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Kevin	Sun May 19 2002 10:51 AM
Re: 2 Weeks	Anonymous	Sun May 19 2002 02:14 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Kevin	Sun May 19 2002 02:20 PM
Re: 2 Weeks	Rad	Sun May 19 2002 10:32 AM

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