No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
21 (Milton)
, Major:
21 (Milton)
Florida - Any: 21 (Milton)
Major:
21 (Milton)
323 URNT12 KNHC 131954 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 13/19:32:40Z B. 21 deg 03 min N 084 deg 44 min W C. 700 mb 2346 m D. NA kt E. deg nm F. 335 deg 124 kt G. 235 deg 015 nm H. 912 mb I. 10 C/ 3355 m J. 18 C/ 3341 m K. 14 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF304 WXWXA 040913IVAN OB 14 MAX FL WIND 157 KT NE QUAD 18:42:00 Z
Looks like Mr Jason Kelley was right (as usual ) The latest recon fix has the pressure back down to 912mb (not an extrapolated estimate either. Ivan is definitely not weakening. Also, notice that the 1747Z recon fix had the center at 20.53N, 84.41W.....this latest fix is at 21.03N, 84.44W.....a north movement of 10 minutes, with just a 3 minute westward motion. Ivan is moving NNW-N. --Lou
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