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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

complications
Wed Sep 04 2002 11:34 AM

shawn, nhc is talking in the 11am outlook like the system off tx/la may develop. the 00zavn has something going out there, which absorbs edouard down the road. avn also stalls it offshore, but this is probably poor initialization (though this thing HAS been sitting off the coast for a couple of days). seeing as edouard is getting the nw outflow jet right across the top, and that system has parts at least that are under a large well defined upper ridge.. yeah, if that thing starts developing it could really wreck all the forecasts.
dolly has been decoupled, now a low cloud swirl in a hostile environment. dont count it out until totally dissipated though.
somebody mentioned that gfdl has another system behind edouard.. this is complicated. a number of models have been suggesting that a low would form south of bermuda due to an amplification, the one that was supposed to insure dolly's exit. some models loitered it, some split it, some jetted it out to the northeast. and some caught it under the building ridge. now this morning i see a slightly turning disturbance out in the general area, sheared and beaten as edouard was.. have to see if it persists.. i've been expecting something around there.
95L still has no deep convection but not any weaker. water temps underneath wont be at 26C until later on today, but it is moving towards the ridging ahead of dolly's killer trough. you know what i'm implying might happen..
can see the weak swirl to the ssw of 95L on visibles this morning, drifting west around 13N38W. 95L is caught in the mid layer flow and is going to breeze by to the north.. leaving this persistent swirl in its wake. it is still associated with convection, and waters down there are quite a bit warmer.
final note: bastardi says the next wave is energetic. 10W he said.. that means it comes out some time tomorrow.
so thats it.. four disturbed areas.. probably two will give us new storms.
HF 1531z04september

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	CFHC	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:34 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:26 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:32 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Joe	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:34 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 06:28 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:30 PM
Link to Data Bouy	Cocoa Beach	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:06 PM
Also...	Kevin	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:15 PM
Re: Also...	Rasvar	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:25 PM
Re: Also...	caneman	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:23 PM
GOM Low	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 02:06 PM
Re: GOM Low	ShawnS	Wed Sep 04 2002 02:14 PM
Re: GOM Low	Frank P	Wed Sep 04 2002 03:00 PM
Re: GOM Low	doug	Wed Sep 04 2002 03:18 PM
Gulf Low - note from Accuweather...	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 03:33 PM
Re: Gulf Low - note from Accuweather...	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 03:46 PM
Re: Gulf Low - 12Z GFDL out...	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 03:50 PM
Look out Central Florida (where I live!)	Kevin	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:01 PM
Re: Look out Central Florida (where I live!)	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:54 PM
Re: Look out Central Florida (where I live!)	Mary K.	Wed Sep 04 2002 05:01 PM
Re: Look out Central Florida (where I live!)	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:39 PM
feebs	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:53 PM
NW Orange County	Alan	Wed Sep 04 2002 06:53 PM
Re: Look out Central Florida (where I live!)	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 06:42 PM
Re: Look out Central Florida (where I live!)	Floridacane	Wed Sep 04 2002 05:00 PM
Re: Look out Central Florida (where I live!)	Steve777	Wed Sep 04 2002 05:24 PM
FLOOD WARNING	WXMAN RICHIE	Wed Sep 04 2002 05:32 PM
FLOODING	WXMAN RICHIE	Wed Sep 04 2002 05:49 PM
Probabilities update	Frank P	Wed Sep 04 2002 06:05 PM
another slowdown	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 04 2002 06:18 PM
Weather now in SW Seminole County, Florida	Kevin	Wed Sep 04 2002 06:00 PM
Re: Weather now in SW Seminole County, Florida	Kevin	Wed Sep 04 2002 07:29 PM
Re: Weather now in SW Seminole County, Florida	Mary K.	Wed Sep 04 2002 07:35 PM
Re: Weather now in SW Seminole County, Florida	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 08:44 PM
GFDL 18Z - 2 Texas Hits? 3?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:17 PM
Re: GFDL 18Z - 2 Texas Hits? 3?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:33 PM
Steve	ShawnS	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:56 PM
GOM Development/Edouard Update	Jason M	Wed Sep 04 2002 10:00 PM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:26 PM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:54 PM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 01:34 AM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	ShawnS	Thu Sep 05 2002 07:21 AM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 07:40 AM
gulf/95L/second	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 05 2002 08:33 AM
WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 09:07 AM
Re: WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	caneman	Thu Sep 05 2002 09:45 AM
Re: WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:09 AM
Re: WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:04 AM
Re: WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	caneman	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:09 AM
Re: WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	tom5r	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:28 AM
Re: WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	caneman	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:12 AM
Re: WAY TO GO HANKFRANK	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:30 AM
Back to the tropics	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:30 AM
Re: Back to the tropics	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:36 AM
Re: Back to the tropics	caneman	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:45 AM
Center trying to form?	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 11:21 AM
Re: Center trying to form?	J.J.	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:14 PM
Re: Center trying to form?	troy2	Thu Sep 05 2002 03:07 PM
Re: Center trying to form?	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:53 PM
Re: Center trying to form?	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:37 PM
Re: Center trying to form?	J.J.	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:02 PM
TD# 6 Is Formed	Mike	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:07 PM
Re: TD# 6 Is Formed	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:18 PM
The tropics today.	Kevin	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:47 PM
GREAT RADAR WEBSITE	WXMAN RICHIE	Thu Sep 05 2002 05:00 PM
The shear monster	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 05:18 PM
Re: The shear monster	caneman	Thu Sep 05 2002 05:25 PM
Re: The shear monster	Joe	Thu Sep 05 2002 06:10 PM
Typos	Kevin	Thu Sep 05 2002 04:52 PM
Hey Cycloneye...	Steve	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:23 PM
Hey Steve	Cycloneye	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:48 PM
NW GOM	Rich B	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:54 PM
Model runs	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 01:12 PM
Re: Model runs	Steve	Thu Sep 05 2002 01:29 PM
Re: Model runs	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 01:39 PM
Re: Model runs	Steve	Thu Sep 05 2002 01:48 PM
Re: Model runs	Steve	Thu Sep 05 2002 02:33 PM
Re: Model runs	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 02:51 PM
Re: Model runs	Steve	Thu Sep 05 2002 03:04 PM
Re: Model runs	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 03:06 PM
Summary of atlantic tropics	Cycloneye	Thu Sep 05 2002 11:50 AM
Bothered to log in again and I GET HIT WITH EDOUARD!	Steve	Thu Sep 05 2002 11:43 AM
Re: Bothered to log in again and I GET HIT WITH EDOUARD!	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:04 PM
commentary	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:32 PM
HF...	Steve	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:34 PM
WOW NW GOM looking VERY mpressive	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:25 PM
Re: Back to the tropics	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:43 AM
Back to the Gulf	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:09 AM
Northwest Gom..	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 10:03 AM
Re: gulf/95L/second	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 08:42 AM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	Frank P	Thu Sep 05 2002 08:10 AM
Corpus Buoy	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 08:19 AM
Fay & The European Model...	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 08:19 AM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	ShawnS	Thu Sep 05 2002 08:01 AM
Re: GOM Development/Edouard Update	Anonymous	Thu Sep 05 2002 01:32 AM
Re: Weather now in SW Seminole County, Florida	Mary K.	Wed Sep 04 2002 06:20 PM
Re: Weather now in SW Seminole County, Florida	Chad	Wed Sep 04 2002 06:36 PM
Hey Kevin!	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:13 PM
Re: Hey Kevin!	Floridacane	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:30 PM
Re: Gulf Low - note from Accuweather...	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 03:49 PM
Thanks Cy-eye...	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 03:10 PM
96L invest	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 04 2002 02:56 PM
96L Invest in WGOM	Cycloneye	Wed Sep 04 2002 02:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	troy2	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:58 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	squirralee	Thu Sep 05 2002 12:25 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	squirralee	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:01 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 12:02 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	StormHound	Wed Sep 04 2002 12:18 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Rasvar	Wed Sep 04 2002 12:30 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Mary K.	Wed Sep 04 2002 12:17 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:32 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:45 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 10:34 AM
GOM LOW	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 10:51 AM
complications	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:34 AM
Re: complications	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 01:11 PM
Re: complications	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 02:04 PM
Re: complications	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:37 PM
Re: complications	caneman	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:42 PM
Re: complications	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 04:58 PM
Re: complications	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 02:05 PM
Re: complications	doug	Wed Sep 04 2002 12:17 PM
Re: GOM LOW	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:22 AM
Re: GOM LOW	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:38 AM
planes GOM	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:59 AM
Sean and Steve where are yall?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 11:42 AM
Re: Weakening?	StormHound	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:59 AM
Edouard has been a fighter	Cycloneye	Wed Sep 04 2002 10:17 AM
Re: Edouard has been a fighter	Anonymous	Wed Sep 04 2002 10:21 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Edouard Wednesday	Colleen A.	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:43 AM
Morning Burst	PFSThunder	Wed Sep 04 2002 08:53 AM
Re: Morning Burst	Jax Chris	Wed Sep 04 2002 09:32 AM
GOM	ShawnS	Wed Sep 04 2002 08:40 AM

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