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Recon finding #Sam a vigorous Cat 4 and may be knocking on Cat 5 w/ a tight inner core. Hopefully staying away from land.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 12 (Nicholas) , Major: 27 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1081 (Michael) Major: 1081 (Michael)
13.9N 50.2W
Wind: 145MPH
Pres: 943mb
Moving:
Wnw at 8 mph
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Archives 2000s >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Tampa Bay NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook
      Tue Sep 14 2004 12:06 PM

This is from 5:27am this morning:

Quote:

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-141900-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
527 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

HURRICANE IVAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. ITS OUTER FRINGES WILL INFLUENCE THE AREAS WEATHER TODAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS LATEST TRACK IS PPROXIMATELY 350 MILES WEST OF THE AREAS COAST LINE. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH IVAN WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF RAIN MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH THIS MORNING BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THESE BANDS MAY PRODUCE ROTATION IN SOME STRONGER CELLS THAT COULD POTENTIALLY PRODUCE TORNADOES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA. WITH A LARGE SLOW MOVING HURRICANE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO...AREA TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL. IVAN IS ALSO GENERATING LARGE SWELLS OF OVER 12 FEET THAT
WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES TO AREA BEACHES CREATING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL STREAMS MAY BRIEFLY EXCEED BANK FULL.




As you can see, the Tampa Bay area does not have to be in the cone to get bad weather. I remember when George was off of our coast by 100 miles, Lakeland saw more tornadoes and rain than I've seen with Charley OR Frances.

Make sure you pay attention not to just where the hurricane will make landfall, but points to the NE of it, as that is where the worst weather is right now. Most of us have seen torrential rains for the last month, and flooding is a huge concern for the little creeks and rivers all around us. As I type this, it's beginning to rain. It also feels like someone just threw a wet blanket over my head it's so tropical. A nice breeze coming in, too.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms MikeCAdministrator Tue Sep 14 2004 12:06 PM
. * * Please let that be a jog Bloodstar   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Please let that be a jog FireAng85   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Please let that be a jog doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:30 PM
. * * 5:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:34 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 Renee   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:08 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:15 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:03 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Please let that be a jog Bloodstar   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms tpratch   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Cane Watcher   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:09 PM
. * * Gravity Waves LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Mongo   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:31 PM
. * * Atlanta Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Atlanta kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Atlanta Mozart   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Atlanta doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Daytonaman   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:53 PM
. * * Water vapor ddrehman   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:58 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor ddrehman   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:00 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:07 PM
. * * Rick on the Boat rmbjoe1954   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:54 PM
. * * the 1:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:46 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:48 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:50 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 luki   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:57 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:01 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:00 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 luki   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:05 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:07 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:22 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:25 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:29 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 luki   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:09 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat storm chaser   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Wxwatcher2   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat FireAng85   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:14 PM
. * * Ivan's new path LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path FireAng85   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:56 PM
. * * JEANNE LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:59 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Kent   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:18 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:14 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:16 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:22 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE St. David   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:18 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:04 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Fletch   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:13 PM
. * * Ivan's Slowdown Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown scottsvb   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Kent   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Ed in Va   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Ed in Va   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:33 PM
. * * The Cone Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:39 PM
. * * Just to right of prediction Ed in Va   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction Fletch   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:57 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:51 PM
. * * Just checking in... Steve   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction GENIE   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:01 PM
. * * looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:11 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... GENIE   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:27 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:17 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:25 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... Steve   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:28 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:04 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:39 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction trinibaje   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown RevUp   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Bioman   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown tenavilla   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:26 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path AgentB   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path eulogia   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path aliehs   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path belleami   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path schmoo   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path ShanaTX   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:47 PM
. * * JBs just full of good news this afternoon LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:49 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:00 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon AgentB   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:03 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:03 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:26 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:25 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat clueless   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:45 PM
. * * Ivan and the Dreaded Cone rmbjoe1954   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat eulogia   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:08 PM
. * * Tired of Lurking Part 2 poetdi   Tue Sep 14 2004 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor bella   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:00 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:44 PM
. * * Jeanne turning West? Wxwatcher2   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:43 PM
. * * FL Threats Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:43 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:56 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:06 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:28 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Cane Watcher   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:43 AM
. * * Tampa Bay NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Tampa Bay NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook okiherdu   Tue Sep 14 2004 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:51 AM
. * * Post From Colleen from the previous thread LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread Tampa Joe   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread ROB IN PA   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread ROB IN PA   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread mlamay   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread davet   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms VandyBrad   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:19 PM
. * * gestational diabetes tpratch   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:42 PM
. * * Re: gestational diabetes LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 12:21 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms MO stormspotter   Tue Sep 14 2004 11:17 AM

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