THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.
HURRICANE IVAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. ITS OUTER FRINGES WILL INFLUENCE THE AREAS WEATHER TODAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS LATEST TRACK IS PPROXIMATELY 350 MILES WEST OF THE AREAS COAST LINE. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IVAN WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF RAIN MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH THIS MORNING BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THESE BANDS MAY PRODUCE ROTATION IN SOME STRONGER CELLS THAT COULD POTENTIALLY PRODUCE TORNADOES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA. WITH A LARGE SLOW MOVING HURRICANE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...AREA TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL. IVAN IS ALSO GENERATING LARGE SWELLS OF OVER 12 FEET THAT WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES TO AREA BEACHES CREATING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL STREAMS MAY BRIEFLY EXCEED BANK FULL.
As you can see, the Tampa Bay area does not have to be in the cone to get bad weather. I remember when George was off of our coast by 100 miles, Lakeland saw more tornadoes and rain than I've seen with Charley OR Frances.
Make sure you pay attention not to just where the hurricane will make landfall, but points to the NE of it, as that is where the worst weather is right now. Most of us have seen torrential rains for the last month, and flooding is a huge concern for the little creeks and rivers all around us. As I type this, it's beginning to rain. It also feels like someone just threw a wet blanket over my head it's so tropical. A nice breeze coming in, too.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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