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Recon is heading into #92L and it is possible Advisories begin later this morning for NE FL to the SE US coast.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Tampa Bay NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook
      Tue Sep 14 2004 04:06 PM

This is from 5:27am this morning:

Quote:

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-141900-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
527 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

HURRICANE IVAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. ITS OUTER FRINGES WILL INFLUENCE THE AREAS WEATHER TODAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS LATEST TRACK IS PPROXIMATELY 350 MILES WEST OF THE AREAS COAST LINE. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH IVAN WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF RAIN MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH THIS MORNING BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THESE BANDS MAY PRODUCE ROTATION IN SOME STRONGER CELLS THAT COULD POTENTIALLY PRODUCE TORNADOES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA. WITH A LARGE SLOW MOVING HURRICANE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO...AREA TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL. IVAN IS ALSO GENERATING LARGE SWELLS OF OVER 12 FEET THAT
WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES TO AREA BEACHES CREATING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL STREAMS MAY BRIEFLY EXCEED BANK FULL.




As you can see, the Tampa Bay area does not have to be in the cone to get bad weather. I remember when George was off of our coast by 100 miles, Lakeland saw more tornadoes and rain than I've seen with Charley OR Frances.

Make sure you pay attention not to just where the hurricane will make landfall, but points to the NE of it, as that is where the worst weather is right now. Most of us have seen torrential rains for the last month, and flooding is a huge concern for the little creeks and rivers all around us. As I type this, it's beginning to rain. It also feels like someone just threw a wet blanket over my head it's so tropical. A nice breeze coming in, too.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms MikeCAdministrator Tue Sep 14 2004 04:06 PM
. * * Please let that be a jog Bloodstar   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Please let that be a jog FireAng85   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Please let that be a jog doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:30 PM
. * * 5:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:34 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 Renee   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:15 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: 5:00 mud1967   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Please let that be a jog Bloodstar   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms tpratch   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Cane Watcher   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:09 PM
. * * Gravity Waves LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Mongo   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:31 PM
. * * Atlanta Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Atlanta kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Atlanta Mozart   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Atlanta doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Daytonaman   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:53 PM
. * * Water vapor ddrehman   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor ddrehman   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:07 PM
. * * Rick on the Boat rmbjoe1954   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:54 PM
. * * the 1:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:46 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:48 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:50 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 luki   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:01 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 luki   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:05 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:07 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:22 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:25 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:29 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 luki   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:09 PM
. * * Re: the 1:00 lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:15 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat storm chaser   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Wxwatcher2   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat FireAng85   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:14 PM
. * * Ivan's new path LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path FireAng85   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:56 PM
. * * JEANNE LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:59 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Kent   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:18 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:14 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:16 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:22 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE St. David   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:18 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:04 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE Fletch   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:13 PM
. * * Ivan's Slowdown Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown scottsvb   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Kent   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Ed in Va   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Ed in Va   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:33 PM
. * * The Cone Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:39 PM
. * * Just to right of prediction Ed in Va   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:48 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction Fletch   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Just checking in... Steve   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction GENIE   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:01 PM
. * * looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... GENIE   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:27 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... lilyv   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:17 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:25 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... Steve   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: looking at the water vapor loop..... LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Just to right of prediction trinibaje   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown RevUp   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Bioman   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown tenavilla   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's Slowdown Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:26 PM
. * * Re: JEANNE andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path AgentB   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path eulogia   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path aliehs   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path andy1tom   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Keith234   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path belleami   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path doug   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:05 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path schmoo   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan's new path ShanaTX   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:47 PM
. * * JBs just full of good news this afternoon LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 07:49 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:00 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon AgentB   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:03 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:03 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon mbfly   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:25 PM
. * * Re: JBs just full of good news this afternoon LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat clueless   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Ivan and the Dreaded Cone rmbjoe1954   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat eulogia   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:08 PM
. * * Tired of Lurking Part 2 poetdi   Tue Sep 14 2004 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Rick on the Boat Thunder   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor bella   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Water vapor LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:44 PM
. * * Jeanne turning West? Wxwatcher2   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:43 PM
. * * FL Threats Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:43 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:56 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:06 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats Rasvar   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: FL Threats kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Gravity Waves Cane Watcher   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Lisa NC   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:43 PM
. * * Tampa Bay NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Tampa Bay NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook okiherdu   Tue Sep 14 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms MrSpock   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:51 PM
. * * Post From Colleen from the previous thread LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread Tampa Joe   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread ROB IN PA   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread ROB IN PA   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread mlamay   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Post From Colleen from the previous thread davet   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms VandyBrad   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:52 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms Colleen A.   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:19 PM
. * * gestational diabetes tpratch   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:42 PM
. * * Re: gestational diabetes LI Phil   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms kelcot   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms meto   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms richisurfs   Tue Sep 14 2004 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Weakens Slightly and Tropical Storm Jeanne Forms MO stormspotter   Tue Sep 14 2004 03:17 PM

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