Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
31 (Milton)
, Major:
31 (Milton)
Florida - Any: 31 (Milton)
Major:
31 (Milton)
Ivan's ghost is getting ready to make itself felt here in Florida. Look at this latest discussion from the Melbourne Weather Service:
STRONG WIND GUSTS TO BUFFET VOLUSIA/BREVARD COASTLINE OVERNIGHT...
...NARROW BAND OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE ALONG COAST TOWARD MORNING...
H5 VORT MAX AND ASSOC WEAK SFC REFLECTION (REMNANTS OF TC IVAN) CURRENTLY ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF FLORIDA...WILL PUSH SW AROUND LARGE ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS HIGH AND WEAK SFC LOW IS PRODUCING A SURGE OF STRONG N/NE WINDS SPREADING S/SW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THE BATCH OF SHOWERS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COASTS LIKELY REPRESENTS THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS WIND SURGE. WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE (40 MPH) WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF FT PIERCE INLET AND RIGHT ALONG THE COAST...ESP VOLUSIA AND BREVARD COUNTIES.
ANOTHER CONCERN IS A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE SE EDGE OF THIS WIND SURGE. A NARROW SWATH OF 2-3 INCHES STRETCHING NE-SW COULD OCCUR LATE TONIGHT/MON MORNING BETWEEN COCOA BEACH AND FORT PIERCE.
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