F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 302 (Idalia) , Major: 302 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia) Major: 302 (Idalia)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

HanKFranK
User


Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: STS Gustav - Update 09/09
      Mon Sep 09 2002 09:37 PM

ed.. not quite following ya. since about mid afternoon gustav has started throwing core convection and now has quite a bit of it. much deeper than the earlier stuff. i'm thinking the forecast tracks are pretty much on target, maybe underestimating the ridge just a tad. theyre all in such good agreeement, no reason not to go with them.
by the way, nhc lack of continuity is annoying me. they havent upped the winds for quite some time now even though the pressure is falling. that one buoy is almost right under the center and reporting 997.. not your normal fare 40kt storm. not to mention recon got winds at 53kt flight level around 1930z and didnt reckon this into their formula. so what if it was SW quadrant, and not the usual NE quad max.. thats where all the convection was. dont you usually get your max sfc winds in a slot where the convection is heaviest in one of these storms?
anyway 53kt equates to 48kt surface, which is good for a 60mph storm. that was before the 5pm update, when they changed nothing.
i really hope they fix this at 11pm. and make it ts gustav finally.
HF 0132z09september

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Storm Gustav Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Sep 09 2002 09:37 PM
. * * STS Gustav - Update 09/09 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 09 2002 06:34 PM
. * * Re: STS Gustav - Update 09/09 HanKFranK   Mon Sep 09 2002 09:37 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 2 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is enabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 3096

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center