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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Anonymous
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But Opal Could Have Been Worse
      Tue Sep 10 2002 04:17 PM

She was spinning down when she came ashore on the panhandle, which was fortunate. This is not to downplay her impact, but I believe Kevin was referring to the west coast of Florida (tampa-St. Pete) and points south. IMO there is still too much chaos in the GOM to get things going for a rapidly intensifying system. Models are all over the place, and the biggest question is which part of the trough takes command from the Mid-west to the East; the lead or the trailer? WIll determine the pitch of the Ridge and which way the low?? will go. ETA prefers the W. GOM/AVN the East- Central/ GGEM Bahamas. Meantime 95L hanging by a thread, but if it makes it thru the next 24 hours could regenerate. Seems like the wave at 40ish is getting pulled to the north by the trough, so that might go bye bye. Life is so complicated. Cheers!! Steve H. BTW, El Nino could kill the October part of the season for the Caribbean which essentially turn off the tropics. I'm beginning to think it's looking that way. But hey, i could be wrong, but there are warm anomalies building in the western/central Pacific.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Storm Gustav CFHCAdministrator Tue Sep 10 2002 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 10:59 PM
. * * not convinced HanKFranK   Wed Sep 11 2002 12:59 AM
. * * Lake Charles and Houston AFD's this evening.. Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Joe   Tue Sep 10 2002 06:52 PM
. * * Gulf ShawnS   Tue Sep 10 2002 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav ROB H   Tue Sep 10 2002 05:43 PM
. * * African Wave(s) Anonymous   Wed Sep 11 2002 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav troy2   Wed Sep 11 2002 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav troy2   Tue Sep 10 2002 10:22 PM
. * * Re:GOM 57497479   Tue Sep 10 2002 08:38 PM
. * * GOM cooking something for the weekend? Frank P   Tue Sep 10 2002 09:05 PM
. * * Re: GOM cooking something for the weekend? Rad   Tue Sep 10 2002 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 05:06 PM
. * * But Opal Could Have Been Worse Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 04:17 PM
. * * Re: But Opal Could Have Been Worse caneman   Tue Sep 10 2002 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 03:56 PM
. * * gulf HanKFranK   Tue Sep 10 2002 04:05 PM
. * * TS Gustav hooking to west temporarily---cycloidal loop? Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 12:36 PM
. * * Re: TS Gustav hooking to west temporarily---cycloidal loop? Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 01:00 PM
. * * Re: TS Gustav hooking to west temporarily---cycloidal loop? HanKFranK   Tue Sep 10 2002 02:04 PM
. * * Florida may want to keep their eyes peeled on Yucatan... Kevin   Tue Sep 10 2002 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Florida may want to keep their eyes peeled on Yucatan... doug   Tue Sep 10 2002 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Florida may want to keep their eyes peeled on Yucatan... doug   Tue Sep 10 2002 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Florida may want to keep their eyes peeled on Yucatan... Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Tue Sep 10 2002 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Gustav now Tropical Storm Larry   Tue Sep 10 2002 09:00 AM
. * * gustav HanKFranK   Tue Sep 10 2002 10:28 AM
. * * Atl wave GOMF   Mon Sep 09 2002 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Atl wave Anonymous   Mon Sep 09 2002 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Atl wave GOMF   Mon Sep 09 2002 08:17 PM
. * * observations 945pm HanKFranK   Mon Sep 09 2002 09:51 PM
. * * Re: observations 100am HanKFranK   Tue Sep 10 2002 01:07 AM
. * * gulf? Alex k   Mon Sep 09 2002 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Mon Sep 09 2002 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav troy2   Mon Sep 09 2002 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Gustav Anonymous   Mon Sep 09 2002 07:25 PM

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