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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 1710

Re: Jeanne Track
Fri Sep 24 2004 01:38 AM

Not much time for an update, but I'll go with what I have. No reason to change the philosophy from last night's update, except to change preferences on the future track. Jeanne should move W to WNW towards Florida at a steady clip the next couple of days, then slow down and turn northward along the coast. The storm may not come inland, but it should brush by ever-so-closely to the coast to result in tropical storm force winds felt along most of the shore. Contrary to a prior NHC discussion, under this or their forecasted track, the coastline would NOT be in the right quadrant of the storm.

Still a chance for the ridge to break down to a small degree, but not enough to spare some landmass. Might see the storm continue northward once inland if the ridge does not break down, i.e. come in near Charleston and then keep going north instead of turning along the coast. The extent of the ridge is such to allow this possibility; further, the forward progress of the longwave trough in the west-central US is being slowed as a new wave develops near Oklahoma/Kansas.

We'll likely see hurricane watches up for Florida in the morning. Whether these get changed to TS warnings or hurricane warnings on Saturday remains to be seen dependent upon the future track. It'll have to stay a ways offshore, though, to only see TS warnings (erring on the side of caution instead of necessarily thinking hurricane force winds won't impact the coast).

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Jeanne Track	MikeC	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:38 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Shalafi	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:29 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	SkeetoBite	Fri Sep 24 2004 06:33 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:15 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	SkeetoBite	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:23 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:51 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	LadyStorm	Fri Sep 24 2004 06:38 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	The Dave Cave	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:10 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	COgal	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:22 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:38 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	MissBecky	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:47 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:03 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	MissBecky	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:08 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:14 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	recmod	Fri Sep 24 2004 06:57 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	SkeetoBite	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:25 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	tpratch	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:57 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:49 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	52255225	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:53 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	OrlandoDan	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:58 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	WXMAN RICHIE	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:15 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:19 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:11 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	RevUp	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:32 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:46 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	VolusiaMike	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:55 PM
Re: Jeanne Track	52255225	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:04 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	RedingtonBeachGuy	Fri Sep 24 2004 08:04 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	OrlandoDan	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:04 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:23 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	OrlandoDan	Fri Sep 24 2004 06:50 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Ricreig	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:12 AM
My thoughts on Jeanne	LadyStorm	Fri Sep 24 2004 05:33 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	Clark	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:38 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:45 AM
Re: Jeanne Track	cjzydeco	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:05 AM
Dry Jeanne	Doombot!	Thu Sep 23 2004 11:54 PM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:16 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Doombot!	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:21 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:33 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Doombot!	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:44 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:51 AM
Yay! Nite y'all	LI Phil	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:41 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	danielw	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:39 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:03 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:08 AM
Landfall Timing	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:19 AM
Re: Landfall Timing	cjzydeco	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:23 AM
Re: Offically said Ya'll are Wiped	javlin	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:35 AM
Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:15 AM
Re: Jeanne	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:36 AM
Re: Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:50 AM
Re: Jeanne	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:53 AM
Re: Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:00 AM
Re: Jeanne	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:05 AM
Re: Jeanne	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:09 AM
Re: Jeanne	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:11 AM
Re: Jeanne	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:26 AM
Re: Jeanne	SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:24 AM
Re: Jeanne	52255225	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:31 AM
Re: Jeanne	SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:37 AM
Re: Jeanne	52255225	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:43 AM
Re: Jeanne	scottsvb	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:55 AM
Re: Jeanne	cjzydeco	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:18 AM
Re: Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:22 AM
Re: Jeanne	AdmittedHacker	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:05 AM
Re: Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:53 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:40 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	Kent	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:01 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	WXMAN RICHIE	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:08 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	BeachBum	Fri Sep 24 2004 02:50 AM
Models	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 03:00 AM
Re: Dry Jeanne	LI Phil	Thu Sep 23 2004 11:56 PM
Some Humor You Can't Refuse	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:12 AM
Re: Some Humor You Can't Refuse	RedingtonBeachGuy	Fri Sep 24 2004 07:53 AM
Canadian in 60 hours	Frank P	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:10 AM
Thomas's 2 cents	WXMAN RICHIE	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:14 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:29 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:45 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:52 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:56 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	Colleen A.	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:13 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Fri Sep 24 2004 01:14 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	Frank P	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:23 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	AdmittedHacker	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:57 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	LI Phil	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:27 AM
Re: Thomas's 2 cents	LI Phil	Fri Sep 24 2004 12:18 AM

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