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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: A few thoughts on 98L/TD 9
      Thu Sep 12 2002 02:22 AM

At 12/00z, recon centered TD9 at 26.2N 86.7W. Core temp was 23C, so I think that this system will be considered tropical. Shear is still a problem, but lopsided systems are more the rule in the Gulf rather than the exception. TD9 is just about stationary and will likely stay that way for another 12-18 hours - it may wander some, but not much, after which a general northeast motion seems likely. Will be interesting to see if this one builds its convection during the afternoon rather than early morning. I think that it will slowly develop into Hanna, but I'd guess that its about 24 hours away, i.e., late Thursday afternoon, before it attains tropical storm strength. Initial recon found a central pressure of 1001mb. The analogy to Harvey seems like a good one.
Cheers,
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* A few thoughts on 98L Kevin Thu Sep 12 2002 02:22 AM
. * * Re: A few thoughts on 98L HanKFranK   Wed Sep 11 2002 11:53 PM
. * * Re: A few thoughts on 98L/TD 9 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 12 2002 02:22 AM

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