Quote: for example... when they were insisting Ivan was going to hit the West Coast of Florida or Big Bend area and bend back towards the NE there were no probs for New Orleans.
New probs came out and suddenly New Orleans had a low prob.
Didn't mean to me that New Orleans was going to get the storm but did indicate that there was some question as to how far left the track might be shifted.
for example...... oh and of course soon after we began to hear about Mobile
Your reasoning and conclusions are right on! That's how it should have been viewed, IMO.
-------------------- Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!
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Re: then again as a trend the probs are great
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