If the ERC finishes before landfall -- How not a Cat 4 (possibly strong one)??
pegging the intensity changes in major hurricanes is tough to do. notice on IR that dry air slots keep getting sucked in, probably what is keeping the storm from deepening rapidly. if it takes a big shot while an inner eyewall is decaying, it could drop a category. i'm only going with what it has been doing.. slowly strengthening. yeah it could be a 4, but not the most likely scenario at this point. -HF
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