Well, our little friend in the NW Caribbean is still there, and appears to be getting a little better organised again. It is still a very weak system, but there is some moderate convection now firing up to the east and a little to the south of the apparent centre. There is some very isolated convection west of the centre too, but not a lot. It would seem to me too that the low is drifting west at the moment. However, i am inclined to agree with NHC and the models, and reckon this system will turn to the NW during the next day or two.
As for further development... well! It really is tough to say. If the shear lets up then this system could become a TD or TS. But it needs to hold its circulation together. As long as the convection keeps trying to develop then there is the possibility of further development of this system.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 35378
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center