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Modeled CAG/TC next week with now 40% NHC odds within 7 days. Model-implied 80% odds within 10 days. Entire NW Carib & Gulf should monitor.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Francine) , Major: 386 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 45 (Debby) Major: 386 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Rich B
British Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK

Re: Action in the Tropics
Fri May 24 2002 05:52 PM

Well i see from NHC's Tropical Wx Discussion that as the Trough and Front head east the convection is expected to become more concentrated over the NW Caribbean, in the approximate region where our very weak and poorly organised low is, but where computer models indicate development unanimously over the next few days. Defintely something to watch, even if it looks like the thing is on the brink of death at the moment.

On a side note, TD 1E has developed in the East Pacific, a good strong looking Depression, and forecast to strengthen. Also, i do like the new Graphics NHC are using, especially indicating the Storms current location, forecast track of the centre, and potential range of the track too...

Rich

StormWarn2000

--------------------
Rich B

SkyWarn UK

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Action in the Tropics	CFHC	Fri May 24 2002 05:52 PM
Best Link Iv'e seen	Weather Witch	Tue May 28 2002 03:21 PM
Re: Best Link Iv'e seen	Colleen A.	Tue May 28 2002 03:40 PM
Re: Best Link Iv'e seen	Frank P	Tue May 28 2002 04:16 PM
Re: Best Link Iv'e seen	Rad	Tue May 28 2002 06:30 PM
Rad	Frank P	Tue May 28 2002 07:10 PM
Re: Rad	Rad	Tue May 28 2002 07:24 PM
Increasing convection	Rich B	Tue May 28 2002 04:28 PM
Re: Best Link Iv'e seen	Colleen A.	Tue May 28 2002 03:30 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics - 91L	Ed Dunham	Tue May 28 2002 08:59 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics - 91L	Anonymous	Tue May 28 2002 11:04 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics - 91L	jth	Tue May 28 2002 11:05 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics - 91L	Frank P	Tue May 28 2002 09:40 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics - 91L	Colleen A.	Tue May 28 2002 11:33 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics - 91L	jth	Tue May 28 2002 11:59 AM
Tropical Weather Discussion 5/28/02	Colleen A.	Tue May 28 2002 12:08 PM
Re: Tropical Weather Discussion 5/28/02	Kevin	Tue May 28 2002 12:31 PM
Re: Tropical Weather Discussion 5/28/02	Anonymous	Tue May 28 2002 03:50 PM
Re: Tropical Weather Discussion 5/28/02	Frank P	Tue May 28 2002 12:45 PM
90L and 91L	Rich B	Tue May 28 2002 01:26 PM
Re: 90L and 91L	Colleen A.	Tue May 28 2002 03:54 PM
91L	Frank P	Tue May 28 2002 02:27 PM
91L	Anonymous	Tue May 28 2002 11:56 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Greyman	Mon May 27 2002 03:37 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Mon May 27 2002 05:37 PM
18Z Surface Analysis...	Rich B	Mon May 27 2002 06:04 PM
They snuck in a Joe B update today...	Steve	Mon May 27 2002 09:10 PM
late commentary	Anonymous (HF)	Tue May 28 2002 01:33 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	houstontrakker	Sat May 25 2002 05:15 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 06:38 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Steve	Sat May 25 2002 06:55 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Steve	Sat May 25 2002 06:56 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 07:08 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rad	Sat May 25 2002 08:19 PM
Nice touch Rad	Frank P	Sat May 25 2002 09:34 PM
Re: Nice touch Rad	Rad	Sat May 25 2002 09:53 PM
Thanks All!	wxman007	Sat May 25 2002 11:48 PM
tonight, tonight..	Anonymous	Sun May 26 2002 02:51 AM
Re: tonight, tonight..	Rich B	Sun May 26 2002 05:08 AM
90L has associated convection!	Rich B	Sun May 26 2002 07:56 AM
Still hanging around	Frank P	Sun May 26 2002 09:36 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Colleen A.	Sun May 26 2002 11:33 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Rich B	Sun May 26 2002 11:47 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Rich B	Sun May 26 2002 11:52 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Rad	Sun May 26 2002 12:04 PM
Re: Still hanging around	Rich B	Sun May 26 2002 12:39 PM
Re: Still hanging around	ShawnS	Sun May 26 2002 03:48 PM
Did not miss much	Frank P	Sun May 26 2002 05:48 PM
Re: Did not niss much	Anonymous	Sun May 26 2002 06:11 PM
Re: Did not niss much	ShawnS	Sun May 26 2002 06:14 PM
Models...	Rich B	Sun May 26 2002 06:08 PM
Re: Models...	Kevin	Sun May 26 2002 08:47 PM
Re: Models...	Frank P	Sun May 26 2002 10:17 PM
Curiously absent from board.....	Frank P	Sun May 26 2002 10:38 PM
Re: Curiously absent from board.....	Frank P	Mon May 27 2002 12:59 AM
Re: Curiously absent from board.....	Anonymous (HF)	Sun May 26 2002 11:54 PM
Re: Curiously absent from board.....	Rad	Mon May 27 2002 08:34 AM
down the road	Anonymous (HF)	Mon May 27 2002 11:44 AM
Re: down the road	Rad	Mon May 27 2002 11:48 AM
Re: down the road	Colleen A.	Mon May 27 2002 12:42 PM
Re: down the road	Kevin	Mon May 27 2002 01:21 PM
Re: down the road	Frank P	Mon May 27 2002 02:47 PM
new stuff	Anonymous	Sun May 26 2002 04:25 PM
Re: new stuff	Rich B	Sun May 26 2002 05:43 PM
Re: Still hanging around	Frank P	Sun May 26 2002 10:17 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Rad	Sun May 26 2002 10:34 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Colleen A.	Sun May 26 2002 11:08 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Rad	Sun May 26 2002 11:25 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Rad	Sun May 26 2002 11:27 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Colleen A.	Sun May 26 2002 11:35 AM
Re: Still hanging around	Rad	Sun May 26 2002 11:41 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Cynthia	Sat May 25 2002 11:51 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	BabyCat	Sat May 25 2002 12:31 PM
What's up JK?	Steve	Sat May 25 2002 01:23 PM
day three...	Anonymous	Sat May 25 2002 01:36 PM
Didn't see Gary Gray's 5/23 forecast posted (link)	Steve	Sat May 25 2002 02:25 PM
Re: Didn't see Gary Gray's 5/23 forecast posted (link)	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 03:15 PM
Action in the tropics or lack thereof	Frank P	Sat May 25 2002 12:09 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 12:04 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Sat May 25 2002 12:09 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 12:17 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	houstontraker	Fri May 24 2002 10:00 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	wxman007	Sat May 25 2002 01:08 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rad	Sat May 25 2002 07:45 AM
Mr. Kelly	Frank P	Sat May 25 2002 11:07 AM
Hard to figure	Frank P	Sat May 25 2002 11:36 AM
Re: Hard to figure	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 11:46 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 05:29 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Sat May 25 2002 05:35 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Fri May 24 2002 05:49 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Ronn	Fri May 24 2002 05:37 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Fri May 24 2002 05:52 PM
Looking more to the east	Frank P	Fri May 24 2002 08:50 PM
nothing yet	Anonymous	Fri May 24 2002 09:17 PM
Agree	Frank P	Fri May 24 2002 09:27 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Fri May 24 2002 01:09 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Ronn	Fri May 24 2002 12:31 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	jth	Fri May 24 2002 01:03 PM
My way of thinking...	Steve	Fri May 24 2002 01:07 PM
Re: My way of thinking...	Ronn	Fri May 24 2002 01:26 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Doug	Fri May 24 2002 12:50 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Mark	Fri May 24 2002 12:11 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Kevin	Fri May 24 2002 11:37 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	CaneMan	Fri May 24 2002 11:42 AM
Cane	Steve	Fri May 24 2002 12:09 PM
Re: Cane	CaneMan	Fri May 24 2002 12:14 PM
Re: Cane	Steve	Fri May 24 2002 12:13 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Doug	Fri May 24 2002 10:47 AM
Re:STORM	HURRICANELONNY	Fri May 24 2002 01:35 PM
Re:STORM	Frank P	Fri May 24 2002 02:50 PM
Hey Frank P...	Steve	Fri May 24 2002 03:00 PM
Steve	Frank P	Fri May 24 2002 03:22 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	CaneMan	Fri May 24 2002 10:52 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	doug	Fri May 24 2002 09:22 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Fri May 24 2002 09:27 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	CaneMan	Fri May 24 2002 09:34 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Frank P	Fri May 24 2002 10:07 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Doug	Fri May 24 2002 10:05 AM
Re: Action in the Tropics	CaneMan	Fri May 24 2002 09:15 AM
just wondering steve	Anonymous	Fri May 24 2002 01:06 AM
Fish Spinner Wannabe at best	Frank P	Fri May 24 2002 08:00 AM
Steve.... well said	Frank P	Fri May 24 2002 08:33 AM
So Slow	John C	Thu May 23 2002 08:54 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 08:31 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 08:13 PM
Forum List....	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 08:32 PM
hmm..	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 08:39 PM
Re: hmm..	Steve	Thu May 23 2002 09:04 PM
Re: hmm..	sweetp	Fri May 24 2002 10:19 AM
Re: hmm..	Steve	Fri May 24 2002 10:54 AM
Re: hmm..	Doug	Fri May 24 2002 11:34 AM
Re: hmm..	CaneMan	Thu May 23 2002 09:21 PM
Well said Steve	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 09:12 PM
Re: hmm..	Rad	Thu May 23 2002 08:59 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Greyman	Thu May 23 2002 08:13 PM
sfc obs	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 07:57 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Rich B	Thu May 23 2002 05:10 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Anonymous	Thu May 23 2002 05:47 PM
Re: Action in the Tropics	Kevin	Thu May 23 2002 05:00 PM

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