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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
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Ene at 17 mph
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15.8N 76.9W
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Pres: 1000mb
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Nnw at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
seconded notion
      Fri Oct 01 2004 05:40 PM

preface is.. lisa's been upgraded to hurricane. took it a week, but a nice finale.
to restate clark's take on the situation: no, there isn't much low level turning in the sw caribbean. the support mechanism is coming into play, but there isn't much there to cause backing and cyclogenesis at low levels. story changes down the road, as a break in the ridge will exist near the yucatan/in the BOC. bastardi thinks we don't get out of this situation without something forming, my take exactly. right now globals want to take anything down there out to the north and northeast late next week... it'll either be that or what larry did last october (stall, drift south). globals no longer indicating enough ridging to push the surface system into the mexican mainland, though that's fuzzy at this point.
yes, probably a matthew; no, no system today, tomorrow, and probably not even sunday.
small point of interest is the weak swirl near 10/45. it has a little puff of convection that keeps following it... i wonder...
HF 2138z01october

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Jeanne and Lisa now in the North Atlantic danielwAdministrator Fri Oct 01 2004 05:40 PM
. * * Here we go again? LadyStorm   Sat Oct 02 2004 07:26 AM
. * * Spinning System S of Hati. Grasshopper2   Thu Sep 30 2004 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Spinning System S of Hati. LI Phil   Thu Sep 30 2004 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Spinning System S of Hati. leetdan   Thu Sep 30 2004 04:14 PM
. * * Discussion LI Phil   Thu Sep 30 2004 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Discussion leetdan   Thu Sep 30 2004 04:53 PM
. * * Holy **** WXMAN RICHIE   Thu Sep 30 2004 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Holy **** matlon   Thu Sep 30 2004 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Holy **** grasshopper2   Thu Sep 30 2004 04:51 PM
. * * Matthew LI Phil   Thu Sep 30 2004 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Matthew grasshopper2   Thu Sep 30 2004 05:34 PM
. * * yellow alert/green threat HanKFranK   Thu Sep 30 2004 06:12 PM
. * * Lat/Lon LI Phil   Thu Sep 30 2004 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Lat/Lon grasshopper2   Fri Oct 01 2004 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Lat/Lon BeachBum   Fri Oct 01 2004 07:19 PM
. * * Tropical Weather Outlook-1030pm Friday danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 02 2004 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Weather Outlook-1030pm Friday James88   Sat Oct 02 2004 05:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Weather Outlook-1030pm Friday Matt033   Sat Oct 02 2004 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Lat/Lon andy1tom   Fri Oct 01 2004 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Lat/Lon doug   Fri Oct 01 2004 12:35 PM
. * * Re: today's tropical discussion doug   Fri Oct 01 2004 12:54 PM
. * * Noon Friday WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Oct 01 2004 01:12 PM
. * * ??? Brad   Fri Oct 01 2004 04:09 PM
. * * Re: ??? Clark   Fri Oct 01 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: ??? Keith234   Fri Oct 01 2004 05:42 PM
. * * seconded notion HanKFranK   Fri Oct 01 2004 05:40 PM
. * * Re: ??? ChiBride   Fri Oct 01 2004 05:38 PM
. * * Re: ??? Brad   Fri Oct 01 2004 04:10 PM
. * * Hurricane Lisa LI Phil   Fri Oct 01 2004 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Lisa Rabbit   Fri Oct 01 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Lisa LI Phil   Fri Oct 01 2004 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Lisa James88   Fri Oct 01 2004 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Noon Friday Grasshopper2   Fri Oct 01 2004 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Noon Friday Ed in Va   Fri Oct 01 2004 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Lat/Lon BeachBum   Thu Sep 30 2004 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Matthew SteveieB   Thu Sep 30 2004 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Matthew James88   Thu Sep 30 2004 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Spinning System S of Hati. grasshopper2   Thu Sep 30 2004 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Spinning System S of Hati. Keith234   Thu Sep 30 2004 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Spinning System S of Hati. grasshopper2   Thu Sep 30 2004 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Spinning System S of Hati. Keith234   Thu Sep 30 2004 07:39 PM
. * * 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 30 2004 09:29 PM
. * * Re: 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update recmod   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:38 PM
. * * Re: 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:49 PM
. * * Re: 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update recmod   Fri Oct 01 2004 12:04 AM
. * * Re: 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 01 2004 12:30 AM
. * * Re: 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update Keith234   Fri Oct 01 2004 06:48 AM
. * * Re: 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update cjzydeco   Fri Oct 01 2004 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Lisa? Staggy   Fri Oct 01 2004 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Lisa? LI Phil   Fri Oct 01 2004 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Lisa? Grasshopper2   Fri Oct 01 2004 03:47 PM
. * * Re: 6AM Tropical Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 01 2004 07:08 AM
. * * Re: 6AM Tropical Update Terri   Fri Oct 01 2004 09:40 AM
. * * NY Times and Global Warming tpratch   Fri Oct 01 2004 10:43 AM
. * * JB LI Phil   Fri Oct 01 2004 10:27 AM
. * * Re: JB Terri   Sat Oct 02 2004 09:30 AM
. * * Re: 8PM Tropical Discussion/ Update GuppieGrouper   Thu Sep 30 2004 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Dr. Gray's Update Staggy   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Dr. Gray's Update gailwarning   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Dr. Gray's Update sthorne   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:30 PM
. * * Bonus Point Question LI Phil   Thu Sep 30 2004 08:01 PM
. * * Hombrew Development Keith234   Thu Sep 30 2004 03:44 PM
. * * 10N 53W Bloodstar   Thu Sep 30 2004 02:07 PM
. * * ? for Mets & long time trackers SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Thu Sep 30 2004 06:31 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers ShanaTX   Thu Sep 30 2004 02:38 PM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers GuppieGrouper   Thu Sep 30 2004 07:29 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers Ronn   Thu Sep 30 2004 08:53 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers tpratch   Thu Sep 30 2004 10:47 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers VandyBrad   Thu Sep 30 2004 10:53 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers Ronn   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:29 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers Keith234   Thu Sep 30 2004 02:59 PM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers tpratch   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:56 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 30 2004 07:05 AM
. * * interesting post-storm analysis from PHL NWS MrSpock   Thu Sep 30 2004 07:17 AM
. * * Re: interesting post-storm analysis from PHL NWS BillD   Thu Sep 30 2004 09:02 AM
. * * Re: interesting post-storm analysis from PHL NWS MrSpock   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:52 AM
. * * Re: interesting post-storm analysis from PHL NWS Terri   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:18 AM
. * * Re: interesting post-storm analysis from PHL NWS Ed in Va   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:03 AM
. * * Re: interesting post-storm analysis from PHL NWS MrSpock   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:54 AM
. * * Thursday Morning LI Phil   Thu Sep 30 2004 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Thursday Morning tpratch   Thu Sep 30 2004 11:29 AM
. * * Re: ? for Mets & long time trackers VandyBrad   Thu Sep 30 2004 07:03 AM
. * * Re: Jeanne and Lisa now in the North Atlantic sthorne   Wed Sep 29 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Tropical Weather Discussion danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2004 09:59 PM
. * * Good news, from a board member MrSpock   Wed Sep 29 2004 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Good news, from a board member danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 30 2004 05:36 AM

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