F

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

None

HypeScale: 0.1

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

scottsvb1
Unregistered

Re: lets wake up
Fri Oct 08 2004 05:18 PM

Over the last 24hours the LLC that went inland near Tampico dissapaited while the midlevel low stayed offshore. As the night progresed into the predawn hours a new LLC developed just south of the midlevel low as pressures in the area were relatively low near 1007mb and strong ts with cloud tops as cold as -60 were over the area. Nevertheless a new LLC has formed (which happens alot with broad area of low pressures) and recon is being sent in again to find out not only if this is a TD but if this is a tropical storm. I'm not sure if they will call it a storm but if they find any pressure lower then what we have now then I feel it should be named. Winds over the gulf in the strong convection show wind gusts up to 48mph and close to tropical storm strength offshore the LA coast. Movement should be off to the NE and then go ENE nearing the coast. I feel the models are too N with the movement of the system but its not out of the question. Westerlys are pretty far south right now and might dig just alittle more. Strength is hard to tell. Models expect this to come inland in 24-36hours. If it stays more ENE then it wont make landfall till Sunday night or Monday morning and that will give it more time to strengthn. Water temps are marginal from N.O. thru Panama City but farther offshore near 83dg. Water temps near Tampa are near 82dg. I expect it can have a chance to get close to Hurricane strength later Saturday night into Sunday morning if it goes more ene although shear will be the main inhibitor. The shear will though be less also if it stays more ene cause it will be further south from the main westerly shear north of the system. Also the system will be moving along with the flow of the upper winds so the shear will be less. Anyways right now its recon and NHC call then we can figure out the exact path and strength. I feel this will be at least 50-60mph at landfall but again it could be up to Hurricane strength by sunday morning as I see it could go further east.

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Something new in the Bay of Campeche	Storm Cooper	Fri Oct 08 2004 05:18 PM
HVY Rain possibility for W and N Gulf Coast	danielw	Thu Oct 07 2004 08:34 AM
Re: HVY Rain possibility for W and N Gulf Coast	ShanaTX	Thu Oct 07 2004 12:06 PM
Scatt...	LI Phil	Thu Oct 07 2004 03:22 PM
Five for Florida?	Kal	Thu Oct 07 2004 04:07 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	Storm Cooper	Thu Oct 07 2004 04:27 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	andy1tom	Thu Oct 07 2004 04:36 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	grasshopper2	Thu Oct 07 2004 05:04 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	andy1tom	Thu Oct 07 2004 05:55 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	grasshopper2	Thu Oct 07 2004 06:34 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	DroopGB31	Thu Oct 07 2004 06:43 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	scottsvb1	Thu Oct 07 2004 06:33 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	doug	Thu Oct 07 2004 06:53 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	scottsvb1	Thu Oct 07 2004 07:19 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	Bloodstar	Thu Oct 07 2004 08:25 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	Keith234	Thu Oct 07 2004 09:04 PM
recon	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 07 2004 09:50 PM
Re: recon	Keith234	Thu Oct 07 2004 09:53 PM
Re: recon	Anony	Thu Oct 07 2004 10:43 PM
Re: recon	Keith(234)	Thu Oct 07 2004 11:17 PM
Re: recon	summercyclone	Thu Oct 07 2004 11:29 PM
Re: recon	Keith234	Fri Oct 08 2004 12:08 AM
Re: recon	Rabbit	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:01 AM
Re: recon	Keith234	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:03 AM
Re: recon	scottsvb1	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:12 AM
Re: recon	Keith234	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:33 AM
Re: recon	scottsvb1	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:14 AM
Scott, I'm confused...	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:27 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	ShanaTX	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:51 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:53 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	ShanaTX	Fri Oct 08 2004 02:04 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 02:17 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	Hurric	Fri Oct 08 2004 02:33 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	Redbird	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:49 PM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	DMFischer	Fri Oct 08 2004 02:15 PM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	GuppieGrouper	Fri Oct 08 2004 03:14 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	Hurric	Fri Oct 08 2004 11:13 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	GuppieGrouper	Fri Oct 08 2004 11:41 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	Katie	Fri Oct 08 2004 02:50 PM
Not for nothin', but...	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 03:28 PM
Re: Not for nothin', but...	anony	Fri Oct 08 2004 04:07 PM
Re: lets wake up	doug	Fri Oct 08 2004 04:18 PM
Re: lets wake up	Ronn	Fri Oct 08 2004 05:59 PM
Re: lets wake up	Anony	Fri Oct 08 2004 06:38 PM
Re: lets wake up	Ronn	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:09 PM
Re: lets wake up	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 06:40 PM
Re: lets wake up	Anony	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:15 PM
Re: lets wake up	Anony	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:18 PM
Re: lets wake up	Anony	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:23 PM
Matthew Advisory #1	recmod	Fri Oct 08 2004 09:05 PM
Re: lets wake up	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:28 PM
Re: lets wake up	Kimberley Clark	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:43 PM
Re: lets wake up	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:53 PM
Re: lets wake up	Kimberley Clark	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:53 PM
Re: lets wake up	anony	Fri Oct 08 2004 08:17 PM
Maybe Matthew...	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 08:28 PM
Re: Maybe Matthew...	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 08:32 PM
Re: Maybe Matthew...	Rasvar	Fri Oct 08 2004 08:38 PM
Matthew @ 5:00	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 08:54 PM
Re: Matthew @ 5:00	Kimberley Clark	Fri Oct 08 2004 08:55 PM
Re: Matthew @ 5:00	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 09:00 PM
Re: lets wake up	Storm Cooper	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:29 PM
Re: lets wake up	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:30 PM
Re: lets wake up	Rabbit	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:20 PM
Re: lets wake up	Storm Cooper	Fri Oct 08 2004 04:31 PM
Re: lets wake up	LI Phil	Fri Oct 08 2004 04:25 PM
Re: lets wake up	Steve hirschb.	Fri Oct 08 2004 04:52 PM
Re: lets wake up	scottsvb1	Fri Oct 08 2004 05:18 PM
Re: lets wake up	Storm Cooper	Fri Oct 08 2004 05:28 PM
incipient matthew	HanKFranK	Fri Oct 08 2004 05:46 PM
Re: incipient matthew	scottsvb1	Fri Oct 08 2004 06:03 PM
More West	Cocoa Beach	Fri Oct 08 2004 05:08 PM
Re: Not for nothin', but...	James88	Fri Oct 08 2004 03:47 PM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	doug	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:21 PM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	scottsvb1	Fri Oct 08 2004 05:47 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	Storm Cooper	Fri Oct 08 2004 07:32 AM
RE:Tropical Weather Discussion	DMFischer	Fri Oct 08 2004 03:14 AM
Re: Scott, I'm confused...	Hurric	Fri Oct 08 2004 01:59 AM
Re: recon	Rabbit	Thu Oct 07 2004 10:37 PM
water vapor	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 07 2004 10:31 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	Storm Cooper	Thu Oct 07 2004 05:19 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	Storm Cooper	Thu Oct 07 2004 04:38 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	scottsvb1	Thu Oct 07 2004 04:40 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	devin	Thu Oct 07 2004 04:48 PM
Re: Five for Florida?	LI Phil	Thu Oct 07 2004 04:52 PM
Re: Scatt...	Ronn	Thu Oct 07 2004 03:37 PM
Re: Scatt...	James88	Thu Oct 07 2004 03:53 PM
SW Gulf Of Mexico	danielw	Thu Oct 07 2004 09:19 AM
5AM CDT Tropical WX Outlook	danielw	Thu Oct 07 2004 09:25 AM

Extra information

0 registered and 179 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:

Thread views: 38893

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center