Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

The Atlantic is quiet

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

None

HypeScale: 0

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

danielw
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Matthew...stick a fork in him, he's done.
Sat Oct 09 2004 10:42 PM

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 09 2004

STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR HAS AGAIN STRIPPED MATTHEW OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION THIS EVENING. NEVERTHELESS...THERE ARE AMPLE SHIP REPORTS TO SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...SO THE ADVISORY INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 35 KT FOR NOW. WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION CURRENTLY SEPARATING FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR MATTHEW TO STRENGTHEN APPRECIABLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND IF CONVECTION DOES NOT RETURN MATTHEW WILL PROBABLY MAKE LANDFALL AS A DEPRESSION. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM MATTHEW CONTINUES TO BE COASTAL SURGE AND INLAND RAIN FLOODING....

....NOW THAT MATTHEW IS ONLY A LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL THE EASTWARD MOTION HAS STOPPED...AND OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS MATTHEW HAS MOVED ESSENTIALLY NORTHWARD.
AS CONVECTION COMES AND GOES THERE COULD BE ADDITIONAL JUMPS TO THE LEFT AND STEPS TO THE RIGHT...BUT SINCE THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN STRONG...THE MORE NORTHERLY MOTION SHOULD PREVAIL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS PRETTY CLOSE TO THE GFS AND UKMET GUIDANCE...
AND A LITTLE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO THE EASTWARD JOG LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

Edited by danielw (Sat Oct 09 2004 10:45 PM)

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	Ed Dunham	Sat Oct 09 2004 10:42 PM
Administrative Notes	Ed Dunham	Sun Oct 10 2004 09:49 AM
Re: Matthew weakens	Sean2	Sun Oct 10 2004 10:32 AM
Re: Matthew weakens	Storm Cooper	Sun Oct 10 2004 11:05 AM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	FireAng	Sat Oct 09 2004 03:29 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	anony	Sat Oct 09 2004 03:45 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	Steve Hirschb.	Sat Oct 09 2004 04:01 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	anony	Sat Oct 09 2004 04:55 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	mbfly	Sat Oct 09 2004 08:49 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	danielw	Sat Oct 09 2004 09:05 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	mbfly	Sat Oct 09 2004 09:15 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	Matt033	Sat Oct 09 2004 09:30 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	Terra	Sat Oct 09 2004 09:41 PM
Re: Matthew...stick a fork in him, he's done.	Storm Cooper	Sat Oct 09 2004 10:33 PM
Re: Matthew...stick a fork in him, he's done.	danielw	Sat Oct 09 2004 10:42 PM
Re: Matthew...stick a fork in him, he's done.	Steve	Sat Oct 09 2004 10:54 PM
He's Not Done Yet !	danielw	Sun Oct 10 2004 04:21 AM
SubTropical Storm Nicole forms off Bermuda	danielw	Sun Oct 10 2004 04:38 AM
Matthew Spawning Tornadoes	danielw	Sun Oct 10 2004 06:34 AM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	Matt033	Sat Oct 09 2004 08:04 PM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	Storm Cooper	Sat Oct 09 2004 10:19 AM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	LI Phil	Sat Oct 09 2004 10:52 AM
Re: Matthew Struggles Against Strong Shear	andy1tom(me)	Sat Oct 09 2004 12:53 PM
Matthew and rain...	Steve	Sat Oct 09 2004 02:54 PM
Re: Matthew making a last run	Storm Hunter	Sat Oct 09 2004 03:08 PM
Re: Matthew making a last run	anony	Sat Oct 09 2004 03:44 PM

Extra information

0 registered and 609 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:

Thread views: 20105

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center